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RE: [RT] bonds top?



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would 
a bond top support an equity advance (after retest)

  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Dorothy Carter 
  [mailto:dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx]Sent: Friday, October 19, 2001 
  10:55 PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] 
  bonds top?
  I agree.. I've been saying that for the last 6 
  weeks since the prior peak pre 911.... Retail has been plowing $$$ into bond 
  funds.. look at Ford today whose credit was downgraded.. they increased the 
  size of their bond deal.. the  feeling on the street was float as much 
  debt as you can while you can because as you know the  lower the rating 
  the higher interest rate you have to pay.  Next week the  Govt. bond 
  market has refinancing of I believe  2 & 5 yrs  and  a 
  pretty heavy Corp calendar as well.. supply concerns are going to put a lid on 
  this mkt as well as concerns about the deficit spending.. Today's reversal in 
  the long bond does appear as I suggested that we are making a H & S 
  formation... I would expect 102.12 - 102.06 
  to be seen and If I get lower targets I'll share it with you.
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    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    Don 
    Thompson 
    To: <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    Sent: Friday, October 19, 2001 10:29 
    PM
    Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
    
    Don and Lee,
    Merrill-Lynch is furiously packaging bonds for the public.. 
    broker bragging of x Hundreds of Millions going into these packages.  I 
    always get interested in a top when ML starts really marketing.  The 
    last time was the intro  of their B to B internet holders.. it had to 
    have called the top by a couple of weeks.
     
    Don
    Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
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      <SPAN 
      class=510475901-20102001>Don, interesting - first it 
      is interesting to see you use the gator. I just ffinished his book 
      and like the system. Answer me this batman - what is a yawn 
      and there does not appear to be a way to do his momentem 
      indicator "AC" in AGET as it is a MA of the 5/35 do you just 
      ignore this indictor or have you found a way around this limitation. 
      thks 
      
        <FONT face=Tahoma 
        size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers 
        [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Thursday, October 18, 
        2001 8:08 PMTo: 
        realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] bonds 
        top?Attached are the AGET charts (60min and 
        daily).The 60min chart which is measuring the "wave 4 from 
        9-20-01 on the daily"indicates we may make another new high to a MOB 
        (108-16 to 108-24) at least(it can go higher) so in agreement with 
        Clyde's chart.The fact that the bond retracement has exceeded a 
        .786 retracement on thedaily is a clue that maybe the 60min is  
        right?   The MOB on the daily issomewhat lower (107-24 to 
        108-01 but it is not locked in yet so may change(locks if a new high 
        is made)).Ignor the gator (three bold colored lines) on the 
        60min although it has madesome great calls lately.don 
        ewers----- Original Message -----From: "Dorothy K. Carter" 
        <dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>To: 
        <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001 
        1:05 PMSubject: Re: [RT] bonds top?I don't know how 
        accurate the vol is on my source.. but it appears bondshave been 
        rallying on liter vol. than the down draft low going into9/20. chart 
        appears to be making right shoulder....... I'd still guesswe are in 
        window coming up shortly where bonds,stocks and US$  resumedown 
        together  .. I'd still watch for 102.12  102.06 target to be 
        met----- Original Message -----From: Clyde Lee 
        <mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        <mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 
        18, 2001 1:42 PMSubject: Re: [RT] bonds top?We've retired 
        SwingMachine for a while but  SwingTimer  show 
        theattached.Clyde----- Original Message 
        -----From: azeem <mailto:azeemb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: 
        realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        <mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 
        18, 2001 11:11 AMSubject: [RT] bonds top?will bonds exceed 
        prevoius high? or is this the topwhat does the waves 
        say?swingmachine say?thanksTo unsubscribe from this 
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