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Up until recently we had since the 9/21 low the
bonds and stocks pretty much rallying together.. My premise is that the US$ is
getting up against resistance and as soon as we see US$ reverse I would
expect to see foreign sellers come in again and sell both stocks and
bonds. Bonds have their own issues right now in addition to potentially a
US$ that resumes it's downtrend.. ie new corp supply and US Govt refunding and
of course concerns over deficit spending because of cost of security etc from
911 . I think that this next leg that Bonds, Equities and US$ will
go down together... I don't see the Bonds going down because the stocks
are going up. I can only speak for what I see happening here shortly..
once we get to a low which I would not label "retest" for
equities as I see the Sept low taken out and not a significant low.
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Lee Morris
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Saturday, October 20, 2001 1:03
AM
Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?
<SPAN
class=330055604-20102001>would a bond top support an equity advance (after
retest)
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Dorothy Carter [<A
href="mailto:dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx";>mailto:dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx]Sent:
Friday, October 19, 2001 10:55 PMTo: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject:
Re: [RT] bonds top?
I agree.. I've been saying that for the last
6 weeks since the prior peak pre 911.... Retail has been plowing $$$ into
bond funds.. look at Ford today whose credit was downgraded.. they increased
the size of their bond deal.. the feeling on the street was float as
much debt as you can while you can because as you know the lower the
rating the higher interest rate you have to pay. Next week the
Govt. bond market has refinancing of I believe 2 & 5 yrs
and a pretty heavy Corp calendar as well.. supply concerns are going
to put a lid on this mkt as well as concerns about the deficit spending..
Today's reversal in the long bond does appear as I suggested that we are
making a H & S formation... I would
expect 102.12 - 102.06 to be seen and If I get lower targets I'll share it
with you.
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Don
Thompson
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, October 19, 2001 10:29
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
Don and Lee,
Merrill-Lynch is furiously packaging bonds for the public..
broker bragging of x Hundreds of Millions going into these packages.
I always get interested in a top when ML starts really marketing.
The last time was the intro of their B to B internet holders.. it
had to have called the top by a couple of weeks.
Don
Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?
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<SPAN
class=510475901-20102001>Don, interesting - first it
is interesting to see you use the gator. I just ffinished his book
and like the system. Answer me this batman - what is a yawn
and there does not appear to be a way to do his momentem
indicator "AC" in AGET as it is a MA of the 5/35 do you just
ignore this indictor or have you found a way around this
limitation. thks
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers
[mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Thursday, October 18,
2001 8:08 PMTo:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] bonds
top?Attached are the AGET charts (60min and
daily).The 60min chart which is measuring the "wave 4 from
9-20-01 on the daily"indicates we may make another new high to a
MOB (108-16 to 108-24) at least(it can go higher) so in agreement
with Clyde's chart.The fact that the bond retracement has
exceeded a .786 retracement on thedaily is a clue that maybe the
60min is right? The MOB on the daily issomewhat
lower (107-24 to 108-01 but it is not locked in yet so may
change(locks if a new high is made)).Ignor the gator
(three bold colored lines) on the 60min although it has madesome
great calls lately.don ewers----- Original Message
-----From: "Dorothy K. Carter"
<dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>To:
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 18,
2001 1:05 PMSubject: Re: [RT] bonds top?I don't know
how accurate the vol is on my source.. but it appears bondshave
been rallying on liter vol. than the down draft low going
into9/20. chart appears to be making right shoulder....... I'd
still guesswe are in window coming up shortly where bonds,stocks
and US$ resumedown together .. I'd still watch for
102.12 102.06 target to be met----- Original Message
-----From: Clyde Lee <mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>To:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October
18, 2001 1:42 PMSubject: Re: [RT] bonds top?We've retired
SwingMachine for a while but SwingTimer show
theattached.Clyde----- Original Message
-----From: azeem <mailto:azeemb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October
18, 2001 11:11 AMSubject: [RT] bonds top?will bonds exceed
prevoius high? or is this the topwhat does the waves
say?swingmachine say?thanksTo unsubscribe from this
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