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I agree.. I've been saying that for the last 6
weeks since the prior peak pre 911.... Retail has been plowing $$$ into bond
funds.. look at Ford today whose credit was downgraded.. they increased the size
of their bond deal.. the feeling on the street was float as much debt as
you can while you can because as you know the lower the rating the higher
interest rate you have to pay. Next week the Govt. bond market has
refinancing of I believe 2 & 5 yrs and a pretty heavy Corp
calendar as well.. supply concerns are going to put a lid on this mkt as well as
concerns about the deficit spending.. Today's reversal in the long bond does
appear as I suggested that we are making a H & S formation... I <FONT
face=Quotrone size=2>would expect 102.12 - 102.06 to be seen and If I get lower
targets I'll share it with you.
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style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Don
Thompson
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, October 19, 2001 10:29
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
Don and Lee,
Merrill-Lynch is furiously packaging bonds for the public..
broker bragging of x Hundreds of Millions going into these packages. I
always get interested in a top when ML starts really marketing. The last
time was the intro of their B to B internet holders.. it had to have
called the top by a couple of weeks.
Don
Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?
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style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<SPAN
class=510475901-20102001>Don, interesting - first it
is interesting to see you use the gator. I just ffinished his book and
like the system. Answer me this batman - what is a yawn and there
does not appear to be a way to do his momentem indicator "AC" in AGET
as it is a MA of the 5/35 do you just ignore this indictor or have you
found a way around this limitation. thks
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers
[mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001
8:08 PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re:
[RT] bonds top?Attached are the AGET charts
(60min and daily).The 60min chart which is measuring the "wave 4
from 9-20-01 on the daily"indicates we may make another new high to a
MOB (108-16 to 108-24) at least(it can go higher) so in agreement with
Clyde's chart.The fact that the bond retracement has exceeded a
.786 retracement on thedaily is a clue that maybe the 60min is
right? The MOB on the daily issomewhat lower (107-24 to
108-01 but it is not locked in yet so may change(locks if a new high
is made)).Ignor the gator (three bold colored lines) on the 60min
although it has madesome great calls lately.don ewers-----
Original Message -----From: "Dorothy K. Carter"
<dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>To:
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001
1:05 PMSubject: Re: [RT] bonds top?I don't know how
accurate the vol is on my source.. but it appears bondshave been
rallying on liter vol. than the down draft low going into9/20. chart
appears to be making right shoulder....... I'd still guesswe are in
window coming up shortly where bonds,stocks and US$ resumedown
together .. I'd still watch for 102.12 102.06 target to be
met----- Original Message -----From: Clyde Lee
<mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 18,
2001 1:42 PMSubject: Re: [RT] bonds top?We've retired
SwingMachine for a while but SwingTimer show
theattached.Clyde----- Original Message -----From:
azeem <mailto:azeemb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>To:
realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, October 18,
2001 11:11 AMSubject: [RT] bonds top?will bonds exceed
prevoius high? or is this the topwhat does the waves say?swingmachine
say?thanksTo unsubscribe from this group, send an email
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