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Since the advent of circuit breakers hasn't VIX been somewhat limited on the
high end? Like in 1987 didn't it hit 150 without circuit breakers. What do
you think is the highest level it could reach with circuit breakers? 50? 75?
80?
----- Original Message -----
From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Sunday, August 19, 2001 6:12 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Markets
> I've seen some recent work on volatility in which the authors suggest that
> the current extreme low period of volatility will be followed by a period
of
> extreme high volatility. I've also seen some scary looking stuff which
fits
> with your long red bar.
>
> Earl
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Clyde Lee" <clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Saturday, August 18, 2001 8:04 PM
> Subject: [SM] Re: [RT] Markets
>
>
> Well, I'll just take the position of REPORTING HISTORY.
>
> The attached shows the SwingTimer evaluation of the WEEKLY
> S&P cash index from 1931 until now.
>
> Very interesting that there are only TWO (2) prior conditions
> where market patterns have been the same as now.
>
> The projected (red) box shows the high and low price limits
> based on these two prior patterns and also show the earliest
> and latest time frames.
>
> The earlier boxes shown are from a MATCH 3 situation which
> is a bit more reliable but show that prior conditions were not
> as unique as just now.
>
> Hopefully you will watch this closely.
>
> Clyde
>
>
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> Clyde Lee Chairman/CEO (Home of SwingMachine)
> SYTECH Corporation email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
> 7910 Westglen, Suite 105 Office: (713) 783-9540
> Houston, TX 77063 Fax: (713) 783-1092
> Details at: www.theswingmachine.com
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Ralph Volpe" <rjv@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Saturday, August 18, 2001 19:36
> Subject: Re: [RT] Markets
>
>
> > If I may play devils advocate, let me inject a thought with respect to
> market
> > observations and forecasting either bull or bear scenarios. I think all
> > timing tools work for periods and don't work for other periods, which is
a
> > statement most experts banter about with out much of an explanation. So,
> for
> > protection, they often suggest that a multitude of tools be used whereby
> any
>
>
>
>
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