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Re: Fw: [RT] NDX long term trend lines



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--- In realtraders@xxxx, "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxx> wrote:
> RT,
> 
>  I was reviewing some of the forecasts that I have kept from 
various market
> related lists. First, please see Gary's below that was posted to RT 
on March
> 4. Then please see the post I sent to
> the gannghost list, below. What is not obvious from my post, 
without some
> further calculations, is that if you take the stated harmonic of 
13.34 times
> the 1932 low close of the DJIA, 41.22,  you get 549.87 for the 
Naz.  The
> point is that the bottom line of both post, though derived from 
totally
> different methods, is that if the Nazdaq follows the 1929 bubble - 
crash
> model, that after this rally, it will eventually go to the 550 
area. I
> arrived at 549.87 and Gary arrived at 550. I find it amazing that 
we both
> came to the same number  If this scenario holds, look for 2650 - 
2700, 3370,
> or 3792- 3922 to stop the Naz Comp on the upside before plunging to 
550. The
> former of the last two numbers is  a .618 retracement of the 2000 - 
2001
> down move and the latter is 13.34 times the high for the DJIA for 
the spring
> 1930 rebound rally.  By the way, I just checked, thinking my theory 
was
> going to fall apart when I checked the low price at the bottom of 
the crash
> in 1929 with a low price of 198.69. However, please note that the 
Naz Comp
> bottomed at 1625 which is 8.1785 times the DJIA 1929 low. 8.1785 
is .613 of
> 13.34. In other words, the Fibonacci harmonics of these numbers is 
still
> holding together despite the fact that I posted this several week 
ahead of
> the April low and didn't know what the low price would be.
> 
> Cheers,
> 
> Norman
> 
Good for you Norm.


Haytham


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