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----- Original Message -----
From: "Research Dept." <research@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Research Dept." <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, May 18, 2001 8:59 AM
Subject: [RT] Band Study (better explained)
> Hello Research,
>
> talking to myself i guess, anyway don't be fooled by the simplicity of
> this study. yes it uses a simple moving average, the key is the
> percentages of the bands above and below and the length of the
> lookback period. if there is some hidden mystical cyclical movement
> in the sp market it is most likely cause by option to option
> expiration.
NW: Did you also test for this markets whose options or futures don't expire
on the thrid week of the month? The third week of the month is also
"mystical" in that is when, from a Geocentric point of view, the Sun changes
Zodical signs. I have noticed that when there is a fluke in the calendar
which causes a particulary early option expiration, that the market doesn't
tend to have the expected change immediately after as usual. Rather, it
tends to come near when the Sun changes signs.
Mystically,
Norman
>
> there is a train theory here - once an object is in motion you know
> the rest and if you don't you have no business trading. also note
> that the closer to option expiration the more volatile the the sp's
> become. note that because if you have any basis of trading that price
> direction driven, it will be more sensitive towards the expirey.
>
> another point i wanted to make is that by following this study you can
> gain a statical confidence in how long to expect the market to go up
> and what to expect the point move to be. i do not claim to be a guru
> predictor, yet i have never seen ANYTHING that can give you a feel for
> where the market is going and how far it will go as well as how long
> it will last as this study. at least i have never seen anything like
> this or better that was disclosed to the public for free.
>
> this practice/theory was discovered by doing massive amounts of number
> crunching, the original length and percentages were rounded up to
> where they are now. 21 days and 2.5% - i have run this study for
> many years and has always given me a fell for what is possible. once
> strength has raised it's head as we just experienced. it doesn't
> usually go away just that fast, and if it does it's certainly the
> minority as no study that is dynamic in application is 100%. however
> no one needs 100% in this business. i just wanted to express that i
> did not decide upon what these parameters were to be.
>
>
>
> --
> Best regards,
> Research mailto:research@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
>
>
>
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