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On Apr 2, 10:15am, Jpilleafe@xxxxxxx wrote:
>
> I was just wondering if anyone on RT is aware of this
> different version of the Harry Dent demographics thesis,..
> or knows of any studies (online?) which examine the
> correlation between the rate of annual conceptions and
> the overall stock market. Any feedback appreciated.
Attached, is a chart showing the DJIA vs. the size of the
age 25-36 cohort. In a study that I did, this age group
showed the strongest correlation to changes in the DjIA.
Dent used an older age group (40-49), which peaks later
(2007-8), but I found a weaker correlation for that
age group (also attached).
The age 36 cohort peaks in 2000-2001. If this age group
is an important driver, then there will be some tough
sledding ahead - about 5 to 6 years earlier than Dent
predicts.
X-Zm-Content-Name: uspop36djia.gif
Content-Type: image/gif ; name="uspop36djia.gif"
X-Zm-Decoding-Hint: mimencode -b -u
Attachment Converted: "f:\eudora\attach\uspop36djia.gif"
X-Zm-Content-Name: uspopdjcorrel.gif
Content-Type: image/gif ; name="uspopdjcorrel.gif"
X-Zm-Decoding-Hint: mimencode -b -u
Attachment Converted: "f:\eudora\attach\uspopdjcorrel.gif"
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