[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

any suggestions for whipsaw?



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

<x-html><!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD W3 HTML//EN">
<HTML>
<HEAD>

<META content=text/html;charset=iso-8859-1 http-equiv=Content-Type><BASE 
href=file://C:\PROGRA~1\COMMON~1\MICROS~1\Stationery\>
<STYLE>
<!--
body {
margin-left: 4em;
color: "#427D64";
font-size: 12pt;
font-weight: regular;
font-family: "Arial";
}
-->
</STYLE>

<META content='"MSHTML 4.72.3110.7"' name=GENERATOR>
</HEAD>
<BODY background=cid:008301bf1c00$36a628a0$0fabc0d8@xxxxxxxxxxxx 
bgColor=#ffffff>
<DIV>I'm making really good progress on my daytrading method.&nbsp; I watch a 
single stock all day, one that's naturally volatile.&nbsp; My target per trade 
is 3/8 on a trading range day and 1/2 on a trending day.&nbsp; I average 4 
trades a day.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>My setups are based on MACD's on three time frames.&nbsp; I won't enter 
until all three agree.&nbsp; I use displaced moving averages for stops, trying 
to give the price action a little room for &quot;noise&quot;..&nbsp; This simple 
system works, with the exception of whipsaw days.&nbsp; Unfortunately, there are 
plenty of those!</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>I have been working on filtering my signals with breakouts.&nbsp; I won't 
take a signal if the price is in the middle of the trading range, but instead 
wait for a breakout above resistance or through support to confirm the 
signal.&nbsp; I did this to help prevent whipsaw.&nbsp; </DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>But today I shorted a breakout, only to find I'd sold the bottom.&nbsp; 
Then I bought a breakout to the upside, to find I'd bought the top.&nbsp; Both 
breakouts just died.&nbsp; But if I had taken my MACD signals when they came 
into unison, I'd have made my 3/8 targets.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Am I missing something?&nbsp; Is it this very nervous market?&nbsp; Or is 
it a matter of some days this will save me from more whipsaws and some days this 
will cost me money?&nbsp; My goal is high probability trading and maybe I'm 
almost there, but just got burned today...</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Any insight is appreciated.</DIV>
<DIV><BR>Linda<BR>Swope's Mountain Photography<BR><A 
href="http://www.swopephoto.com";>http://www.swopephoto.com</A><BR><A 
href="mailto:linda@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>linda@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR>Climb the 
mountains &amp; get their glad tidings: Peace will flow into you as sunshine 
into flower; the winds will blow their freshness into you &amp; storms their 
energy, &amp; cares will drop off you like autumn leaves. John Muir 1838 - 
1914</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>&nbsp; </BODY></HTML>
</x-html>
Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\any suggestions for whipsaw"