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Charles & Group,
Very interesting post. As I said in my post, those astronomical factors (I
mentioned sun spots as an example) which may influence meteorological
conditions and consequently, say the wheat market, bear investigation. The
central issue here is can we trace a physical causality among the events in
question. For example; a meteorological phenomenon, rain, influences wheat
harvest, and this meteorological phenomenon is in turn influenced by an
astronomical occurrence, the sun spot cycle. The sun spot cycle is a
seven-year (+/-) phenomenon. We need to show that the weather cycle (i.e..
rainfall etc.) also follows a seven-year(+/-) cycle. Having done this, we can
try to predict changes in the weather cycle as they influence wheat production.
Then we apply this to wheat futures. The horoscopic approach does not, to my
knowledge, provide any physically provable mechanism to justify its
assumptions. Therefore, it depends entirely on a significantly large group of
faithful who follow it's rules to move the markets. If the faithful lose their
faith and go away, the approach fails. The weather however, continues to
influence how wheat grows.
Cheers,
Peter Perry
charles meyer wrote:
> Peter and Group:
>
> In line with this thread let me mention "A Roadmap Of Time" by Brad
> Steiger,
> pages 16 thru 27. What is fascinating about this is that the authors talk
> about
> the legendary trader Arthur Cutten employing an astronomer to conduct
> research
> on weather conditions and its potential effect on the wheat markets. The
> details
> of this most interesting research project and accompanying theories are too
> involved to post in total but it involves using the "American Ephemeris and
> Nautical
> Almanac" to calculate what they termed market weather-energy computations
> for
> the sun, moon and earth. Three men are listed in these pages (Maxwell,
> Stapleton,
> and Cejka)-who I wrote to in 1987 but my letter was returned as
> undeliverable.
> I was interested in conducting some research into this but the material was
> over my head. Here is what is interesting. Listed in the objectives they
> state
> that: "as applies to market actions within one day of occurence". They
> are also
> quoted as saying that: "It is the acceleration, plus or minus, that
> counts; and
> not at all where we are, either at the start or at the finish! This is
> Newton's law
> of motion, that everything goes on in a straight line until another force
> acts upon
> it." ........"It is based on the movements of the Earth, Moon, and
> Sun--but
> chiefly on the interaction of the Moon and the Earth. Maxwell stressed
> that as
> the Moon and Earth revolve around one another, there is a differential in
> the pull
> of gravity. Since the Moon orbits Earth in an ellipse, there must be a
> period when it
> travels at a faster speed, and another time when it slows down. Everything
> on Earth
> is constantly subjected to two forces--the gravitational forces and the
> centrifugal
> forces from the spinof the Earth on its axis." There is more interesting
> and com-
> pelling logic listed on these pages which are too lengthy to post to the
> group.
>
> Again, the details were over my head but apparantely Stapleton and Maxwell
> applied
> this knowledge to successful stock market speculation. Peter, if you can't
> obtain
> a copy of this book; email me privately your snail mail address and I'll be
> happy to
> mail you copies of what I am discussing.
>
> As an Ph.D astronomer, I'd certainly be interested in hearing your feedback
> and
> valued comments on the efficacy of this theoritical methodology for
> forecasting
> the stock market.
>
> Charles
>
> > I am an astronomer (Ph.D..). I can tell you there is virtually no
> PHYSICAL
> > relation between planetary motion, etc. and human behavior. Having said
> that,
> > I add that these same aspects can influence peoples BELIEFS and thus
> > influence their behavior.
> >
> > Good trading,
> >
> > Peter Perry
>
> PS: I have a file of articles about solar/lunar and lunar effects on
> economic
> cycles and the stock market.
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