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RE: Sugar - Long or Short a la EW?



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Hi Bill

I'm definitely bearish on Sugar at least for the time being.
I'm waiting for it to test the 800-825 level before i reconsider.

I've noticed that the Oct ATM Calls are at a discount to fair value. Any
comments ??

Regards

Trevor De Vries
Channel Sales Manager CPG
Compaq Computer (South Africa)
+27-(0)11-784-8128 (Microcom Office)
+27-(0)11-784-7849 (Microcom Fax)
+27-(0)82-442-4530 (mobile)


> -----Original Message-----
> From:	T-BONDTRADER [SMTP:T-BONDTRADER@xxxxxxx]
> Sent:	Wednesday, July 08, 1998 11:47 AM
> To:	RealTraders Discussion Group
> Subject:	Re: Sugar - Long or Short a la EW?
> 
> Hi Guys
> 
> This Sugar biz looks interesting!
> 
> BUT...
> 
> Are we long (off a 7-year double bottom) or are we short on an A,B,C
> correction (if that's the term)?  Seems to me to be rather important...
> 
> Of more importance, however, is what money management do you position guys
> use on a longish term trade like this?  It seems to me that one would have
> to withstand considerable margin, on the assumption that the analysis is
> right.  I have no idea on the fundamentals of sugar, but from a t/a
> standpoint a 7-year double bottom deserves consideration - particularly if
> you EW guys have played out a 5-wave cycle to the downside.
> 
> What is a basis point worth on Sugar?
> 
> Curiously,
> 
> Bill Eykyn
> 
> PS.  Sorry about the capitals and the title name - all part of things
> going
> wrong.  Hopefully it will be sorted out and I'll be back to my normal
> surname shortly.
> 
> 
> 
> 
>  << File: LONG OR SHORT SUGAR.gif >>