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Coffee 1



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Usually there are not many posts during holiday, so perhaps a couple of ong
posts are in order.
Some might even find them entertaining

As Many of you probably know by now, I use Supertrader's almanac a lot,
once I have an idea that a trade could be interesting or I use it too look
for trades.

After I read Joedd's comment about coffe suggesting a rally, I checked and
here is what I found

In the statistic for trend change for the month of June, the 30th was
singled out for the highest probabillity for a trend change and the highest
probabillity for a low

On the 30th KCU is set up for a "Seasonal Launching" (A seasonal rise in
connection with the downward pressure taken away at the First Notice Day
(FND) as explained in the book ) .

Astrodays 25th and 29th (Just around the low in KCN

June 29:Venus opposite Pluto (in his Ref. Manual he states that Pluto rules
Coffe and Venus is Bullish)
****
However, If I understand Norman Winski right, Saturn should now, in this
time period, influence coffee now that Neptune left Capricorn in January
But intereisting enough Neptune AND Saturn are at 90degrees (Square) on
June 25, which then should be quite powerful with regard to the behavior of
Coffee?)
****
In the Almanac Cycle Book we see that his Monthly cycle is turning up from
July 1st

The Weekly cycle indexTurned up two weeks ago and will be up for another 2

His "Inversion Cycle" had a top last week, strong indication of T/C

And the rest is done in Dynamic Trader:

Check the "Aniv.gif" There you can see that 25% of all T/C's since 1974
have taken
place in July and Aug when a 20% swing chart has been used. Half of them in
July and and those have been mainly Lows. A good chance for a 20% rise in
other words.
I checked what happend around July 4th since 1973, and 8 T/C have taken
place around this weekend. Not all of them lows though.

Now look at the kcseason.gif there you can see that KC seasonal low is
0709. That's a seasonal composite chart of Gann Dec contract from the last
22
years with the help of Unfair Advantage

The next post will show some interesting time and price relationships.

I can still can not control my gifs, so you may not be able to see the
enlarged format. If you have Paint shop pro though, you use that to zoom
the picture up or down whichever way you want. If you don't have psp you
can download a shareware version on the web.



Regards
Stig
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