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RE: What is the future of TS?



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Excellent, informative post - thanks!
Kimberly

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Bob Fulks [mailto:bfulks@xxxxxxxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, October 13, 2000 7:09 AM
> To: Tom Chapa
> Cc: omega-list
> Subject: Re: What is the future of TS?
> 
> 
> At 9:04 PM -0400 10/12/00, Tom Chapa wrote:
> 
> >Since this is the omega list, I think it is not 
> inappropriate at this time
> >to ask the users of this list what they think the future of 
> TS is going to
> >be?
> 
> I think it is pretty clear what they think the future of TS is going
> to be. Omega has told us. From some PR material dated April 20, 2000:
> 
>  "The company plans to discontinue all marketing of its 
> client software
>   products next month in preparation for the anticipated launch of
>   TradeStation.com."
> 
> Their recent 10Q report refers to the old products as "legacy client
> software".
> 
> Their web site http://www.tradestation.com has only a sexy demo of
> TradeStation Pro that says "Coming Soon". With Omega's record of
> delivering a usable product on schedule, one wonders how soon
> "Coming Soon" really will be.
> 
> Meanwhile, the merger with Online Trading has been delayed by the SEC:
> 
>  "WASHINGTON -(Dow Jones)- Onlinetradinginc.com Corp.'s (LINE) pending
>   merger with Omega Research Inc. (OMGA) has been delayed 
> because of the
>   Securities and Exchange Commission's review of a Form S-4 filed in
>   connection with the merger.
> 
>   Onlinetradinginc.com said in its quarterly report filed 
> Wednesday with
>   the SEC that the federal agency has advised Omega Research that it
>   disagrees with the timing of when Omega Research recognizes 
> licensing
>   fee revenue from the sales of its legacy client software."
> 
> Their recent 10Q report shows them burning cash at a rapid rate, now
> that they have stopped selling the old products:
> 
>  "As of June 30, 2000, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of
>   approximately $4.0 million, with working capital of approximately
>   $15.1 million.
> 
>   Cash provided by operating activities during the six months ended
>   June 30, 2000 totaled approximately $333,000, compared to cash used
>   in operating activities of approximately $839,000 in the comparable
>   period of 1999. The increase in net cash provided by operations in
>   2000 was primarily due to decreases in accounts receivable and
>   increases in accounts payable and accrued expenses offset by net
>   losses and increases in income tax assets during the six months
>   ended June 30, 2000."
> 
> The company has been planning on income tax refunds as a result of
> net operating loss carryforwards:
> 
>  "The Company recorded a benefit for income taxes of $4.3 million for
>   the six months ended June 30, 2000 as compared to a provision for
>   income taxes of $1.7 million for the comparable period of 1999,
>   computed using the effective annual income tax rate."
> 
> One wonders how the tax refunds might be affected by the SEC review
> of revenue recognition.
> 
> The stock closed yesterday at a bit over $2 a share, a 21 month low.
> 
> The following was posted on a Yahoo message board on 10/2/00:
> 
>  "While we're disappointed that this merger has taken an 
> unexpectedly long
>   time to clear SEC approvals, the management of both companies remain
>   committed to the merger and are very positive on our 
> prospects once the
>   merger is closed. Our last update on timing was in our 10Q 
> where we stated
>   it was expected to close by the end of September.
> 
>   We continue to anticipate that once our S4 is declared 
> "effective" by the
>   SEC -- and the delays in this process are related to 
> getting this final
>   approval from them -- the actual merging is expected to 
> close ~20 days
>   later. We expect to announce promptly after the S4 is 
> effective when the
>   actual merger will close.
> 
>   Considering the many delays we've had thus far, we are 
> hesitant to set any
>   new expectations until we have more information from the 
> SEC. But given the
>   20 days it will take to go from being effective to closing, 
> we won't be
>   closing this month.
> 
>   On a positive note, the delay in merging hasn't impacted 
> the two companies
>   working closely together toward the business model and 
> supporting products
>   and technologies (including TradeStation) that we expect to 
> implement
>   post-merger. If I can be of any further assistance, please 
> feel free to
>   call.
> 
>   -SMD
>   Sean M. Davis
>   VP, Investor & Media Relations
>   Omega Research, Inc. (Nasdaq: OMGA)
>   305-485-7005
>  
> The situation seems reminiscent of the "Osborne Effect" now taught in
> most business schools. This refers to the time when Osborne Computer
> announced it's new product far before they could ship it and when
> customers stopped buying the old product, they went broke.
> 
> And one wonders why any company would want to switch from a business
> model where they have a virtual monopoly to one where they have
> thousands of well financed competitors. It should be interesting to
> see how it develops.
> 
> Needless to say, we all hope that it all works out well and that we
> will have a great new trading platform. But I suspect that there are
> a lot of short fingernails in Miami nowadays...
> 
> Bob Fulks
> 
>