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RE: Trend Up ?? down?? simple Question, but the vaguest answers I ever heard from Traders!



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In it's simplest form this is what the replies are stating:

I haven't seen anything as vague as this. Although I was believed that most
on the list are traders  and have to deal with the questing weather a trend
is up or down sideward on a day to day bases.
If I use the answers give I am not surprised that 80% of people loss!!!!

How may higher highs and or higher lows qualify for a trend to be up down??

Bye
Rene'
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up trend = higher highs and higher lows
dn trend = lower highs and lower lows

Trend Up - higher highs...
Trend Down - lower lows...
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It IS more complicated -
By this definition you could have higher highs AND lower lows, but that
wouldn't be an up trend. More of a nightmare!
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I  think  you  must  decide  upon a frequency of trading and series of
data.  Example  if  you  make 50 trades a year on a hourly chart. Then
your  idea of what a trend would look like is 4 or 5 days of upward or
downward price movement. If you trade on a daily chart and make 3 or 4
trades  a year then your idea of a what a trend is maybe 1-3 months of
upward or downward price movement. So to sum up a trend is relative to
the  trading  frequency  vs the primary dominate cyclical price action
which is about 75 % greater than the average mean range movement.

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The important part is to always look at the same time frame. A trend can be
up in 5 minute chart and most definitely down on a 45 minute chart.
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Personally I subscribe to the Vic Sperandeo method of drawing trend lines
and
identifying changes in trend.
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Higher Highs and higher lows is trend up so down is lower highs and lower
lows.  Time is not part of the equation so the term is rather vague.