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I'm showing a very interesting divergence between McOscillator and Summation
based on daily a/d versus weekly a/d. The daily McOsc is showing a very nice H&S
bottom on both the Nyse and the Nasdaq which is why I suggested that we should
see a good rally here. The daily Summation has done nothing but head south for
months decrying the last rally and confirming the downside since. The weekly
McOsc is showing a rare triple decline to new lows (Nyse now at extreme -277)
which is confirmed by the weekly Summation moving to extreme new lows even as
the Nyse moved to new high. Also the weekly Overbought/Oversold based on weekly
NHighs and NLows is showing the same pattern.This weekly pattern was last seen
during 1987 well before the October debacle and previously seen in 1971-1972.
This suggests that any rally will be followed by lower lows. On a more promising
note, the Nasdaq's breadth is looking a bit stronger than the Nyse's. It remains
to be seen if this is due to a shift in sentiment or a reflection of the
extremely poor relative strength in past months.
Earl
-----Original Message-----
From: Ron Augustine <RonAug@xxxxxxxx>
To: Earl Adamy <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>; omega-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx
<omega-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Date: Saturday, August 15, 1998 2:03 PM
Subject: Re: What you see is NOT what you get?
>
>Earl,
>
>New 52 Week Highs & Lows concur also--
>
> NYSE NASDAQ TOTAL
> HI LO HI LO HI LO
>
>07/28 7 240 20 242 27 482
>07/29 14 193 19 201 33 394
>07/30 19 115 21 154 40 269
>07/31 12 209 21 164 33 373
>
>08/03 12 267 21 282 33 549
>08/04 5 409 10 436 15 845
>08/05 5 426 3 419 8 845
>08/06 10 217 7 218 17 435
>08/07 24 86 12 110 36 196
>
>08/10 8 70 15 29 23 99
>08/11 8 381 12 407 20 788
>08/12 18 116 17 129 35 245
>08/13 17 184 16 164 33 348
>08/14 16 *238 18 *231 34 469
>
>* Significantly less new Lows compared to last two tests of SPX 1057 area on
>8/5 & 8/11.
>(now, if Monica doesn't blow the bottom out - so to speak :)
>______________________________________
>At 07:46 AM 8/14/98 -0600, you wrote:
>>My daily McClellan Oscillators on both the NYSE and NASDAQ are
>>suggesting that a bottom is in for now, so as negative as the trends look, we
>>are likely on the cusp of a good rally here.
>
>
>
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