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Re: [EquisMetaStock Group] Early trend stages



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Steve,

Can you re-post your attatchments. For some reason I was unable to get
them.

Thanks, 

Cordell

--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "CedarCreekTrading"
<kernish@xxxx> wrote:
> Philip,
> 
> I just wrote a 1,000 word article on a similar subject: Tillson's
T3's.  It will be in the March issue of Lind-Waldock's newsletter.  As
soon as their lawyers/liars give me the green light, I will make it
available to the forum (but, maybe I can forward you my
notes...without getting in trouble).
> 
> As many know, Tim's adaptive moving averages (see attachment for
TASC January '98 article) are far superior to many of the average
variations you mentioned (and far superior to what certain vendors, in
my fine city, will SELL you).  I'm not knocking MACD or Jurik's
"stuff" or anyone's work, Tim's work is simply better.  Why?  His
averages exhibit the desirable traits of being very "smooth", but they
are NOT sensitive to random noise.  The T3 modifies the "lag and
overshoot" and tends to eliminate the whipsawing that many traders
experience using simple moving averages.  A real thing of beauty: 
very smooth, but sensitive to significant directional changes (see
attachments).
> 
> I trade with a couple dozen people using variations of the T3's. 
Most of us use them to mechanically scalp points from the emini S&P
market.  Although we are finding new and better ways to apply these
adaptive moving averages, one of my brand new favorites is to
replicate the T3 formula and create a T5 (five periods, instead of
three).  Then, subtract the T5 from the T3 (which, of course,
calculates the difference between the averages).  It creates a
stunning momentum oscillator.  We monitor it all day and apply it to
ten minute candles.  
> 
> Philip, if you need any other help...you know how to reach me.  I
hope this helps.
> 
> Take care,
> 
> Uncle Steve
>   ----- Original Message ----- 
>   From: Philip Schmitz 
>   To: equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
>   Sent: Wednesday, February 23, 2005 8:30 PM
>   Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Early trend stages
> 
> 
> 
>   Greetings All,
> 
>   By the time many of the more popular trend indicators kick in (moving 
>   averages of various flavors and combinations, the MACD, the ADX
and even 
>   the PDI/MDI) the trend itself can often be nicely underway. This
seems to 
>   apply especially when price action takes a sharp turn, as in a "V"
bottom 
>   or an inverted "V" top. The numbers feeding into the calculation
of the 
>   indicators cause a lag. Gradual changes in direction don't seem to
pose a 
>   problem.
> 
>   I'm not trying to call tops and bottoms, but even a minor jump on 
>   conventional trend indicators would be helpful. To date, my
efforts to get 
>   a handle on the initial phase of trends after sharp market turns
have not 
>   been rewarding. I can't seem to conceptualize it. Can anyone point
me in 
>   the direction of published thoughts on how one could approach this
kind of 
>   market action? Or, would you be willing to share some basic
observations of 
>   your own? I can't imagine that this question hasn't occupied many
traders 
>   at one time or another.
> 
>   If I should simply "fugeddaboudit," well, that's a possibility
too. I may 
>   be cross-posting this inquiry. My apologies in advance.
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
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