Tom,
Here they are together:
e1:=Mov(C,3,E); e2:=Mov(e1,3,E); e3:=Mov(e2,3,E); e4:=Mov(e3,3,E); e5:=Mov(e4,3,E); e6:=Mov(e5,3,E); c1:=-.618*.618*.618; c2:=3*.618*.618+3*.618*.618*.618; c3:=-6*.618*.618-3*.618-3*.618*.618*.618; c4:=1+3*.618+.618*.618*.618+3*.618*.618; c1*e6+c2*e5+c3*e4+c4*e3;
e1:=Mov(C,5,E); e2:=Mov(e1,5,E); e3:=Mov(e2,5,E); e4:=Mov(e3,5,E); e5:=Mov(e4,5,E); e6:=Mov(e5,5,E); c1:=-.618*.618*.618; c2:=3*.618*.618+3*.618*.618*.618; c3:=-6*.618*.618-3*.618-3*.618*.618*.618; c4:=1+3*.618+.618*.618*.618+3*.618*.618; c1*e6+c2*e5+c3*e4+c4*e3;
Only the periods are modified. Please
note: Tim uses .7, where I have substituted .618. Tim's an engineer
and I'm a superstitious Fibonacci fan.
Take care,
Uncle Steve
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Thursday, February 24, 2005 5:51
PM
Subject: Re: [EquisMetaStock Group] Early
trend stages
Steve,
when you go to a T5, do you change anything
besides the periods in the 6 ema's (e1 to e6)?
That is, do any numbers in c1 to c4
change?
Thanks
Tom
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Thursday, February 24, 2005 12:40
PM
Subject: Re: [EquisMetaStock Group]
Early trend stages
Philip,
I just wrote a 1,000 word article on a
similar subject: Tillson's T3's. It will be in the March
issue of Lind-Waldock's newsletter. As soon as their lawyers/liars
give me the green light, I will make it available to the forum (but, maybe I
can forward you my notes...without getting in trouble).
As many know, Tim's adaptive moving averages
(see attachment for TASC January '98 article) are far superior to many of
the average variations you mentioned (and far superior to what certain
vendors, in my fine city, will SELL you). I'm not knocking MACD
or Jurik's "stuff" or anyone's work, Tim's work is simply
better. Why? His averages exhibit the desirable traits of being
very "smooth", but they are NOT sensitive to random noise. The T3
modifies the "lag and overshoot" and tends to eliminate the whipsawing that
many traders experience using simple moving averages. A real thing of
beauty: very smooth, but sensitive to significant directional changes
(see attachments).
I trade with a couple dozen people using
variations of the T3's. Most of us use them to mechanically scalp
points from the emini S&P market. Although we are finding new and
better ways to apply these adaptive moving averages, one of my brand new
favorites is to replicate the T3 formula and create a T5 (five periods,
instead of three). Then, subtract the T5 from the T3 (which, of
course, calculates the difference between the averages). It
creates a stunning momentum oscillator. We monitor it all day and
apply it to ten minute candles.
Philip, if you need any other help...you know
how to reach me. I hope this helps.
Take care,
Uncle Steve
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Wednesday, February 23, 2005
8:30 PM
Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Early
trend stages
Greetings All,
By the time many of the more
popular trend indicators kick in (moving averages of various flavors
and combinations, the MACD, the ADX and even the PDI/MDI) the trend
itself can often be nicely underway. This seems to apply especially
when price action takes a sharp turn, as in a "V" bottom or an
inverted "V" top. The numbers feeding into the calculation of the
indicators cause a lag. Gradual changes in direction don't seem to
pose a problem.
I'm not trying to call tops and bottoms, but
even a minor jump on conventional trend indicators would be helpful.
To date, my efforts to get a handle on the initial phase of trends
after sharp market turns have not been rewarding. I can't seem to
conceptualize it. Can anyone point me in the direction of published
thoughts on how one could approach this kind of market action? Or,
would you be willing to share some basic observations of your own? I
can't imagine that this question hasn't occupied many traders at one
time or another.
If I should simply "fugeddaboudit," well, that's a
possibility too. I may be cross-posting this inquiry. My apologies in
advance.
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