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[Metastockusers] Re: Introducing myself



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links


Why?

Got to my website and send me an e-mail if you want to talk.

Larry

--- In Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "manohohman" <j3ttt@xxxx> 
wrote:
> 
> Call me back when you get a track record--an audited one!
> 
> 
> 
> 
> --- In Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Book" <book@xxxx> wrote:
> > I would like to introduce myself to this group.
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > I am a retired manager of a major U.S. corporation. I was 
educated 
> in the
> > fields of mathematics, electrical engineering and computer 
science 
> and I
> > have had an interest in stock market analysis for nearly 20 
years.  
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > I believe my background skills have given me a unique insight 
into 
> technical
> > analysis, allowing me to look at and understand the mathematics 
> behind
> > technical analysis formulas, take an unbiased common sense 
approach 
> to the
> > results of these formulas and develop a system that does not 
> succumb to the
> > short falls of Technical Analysis.   
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > I have been studying technical analysis in the stock market since 
> 1987,
> > testing and analyzing hundreds of formulas and charts.  I began 
by 
> using
> > commercial software with built in formulas, then wrote my own 
> formulas and
> > finally wrote my own software and formulas. 
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > I am now writing a book "An Analysis of Technical Analysis", 
which 
> is far
> > from complete but there is some very relevant information that I 
> will point
> > you to a little later.   
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > I have also been lurking and contributing on many forums over the 
> last 10
> > years or so, and I have made several observations.
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > 1.	The questions are generally the same, form year to year.  Some
> > technical question on how to get a formula or program to work and 
> some
> > general questions on how to make a system that really works.  The 
> technical
> > questions are usually answered in detail but the system questions 
> are rarely
> > answered except in the most general terms. 
> > 
> > 2.	There are usually one or two Gurus who expound "I have 
> developed a
> > system that really works well" but they never give explicit 
details 
> on how
> > this system works and they never give actual trades until well 
> after the
> > trades have happened.  This gives way too much opportunity 
> to "adjust" the
> > figures.  In other words, they never prove themselves. 
> > 
> > 3.	After a period of time, a year or less, these Gurus disappear 
> from
> > the scene.  Did they lose all their money, or can't they just 
keep 
> up the
> > BS?
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Why is this the case?  I will answer this a little later.
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > First I want to say that I have created a "commercial" market 
timing
> > website, but I will not advertise or even mention the name here 
so 
> that the
> > moderator of this group won't ban me.  My main concern is to get 
> some very
> > pertinent market timing information to those of you who are really
> > interested in trying to time the market.
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Let me start out this way.  Technical analysis (using 
mathematical 
> formulas
> > only) DOES NOT WORK, WILL NOT WORK, AND YOU WILL JUST LOSE YOUR 
> MONEY!
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > How can I possibly say such a thing, especially when I said I own 
a 
> market
> > timing web site?
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > I said "Technical analysis (using mathematical formulas only)".
> > Mathematical formulas, no mater how simple or complex, try to 
match 
> a
> > recurrence, or pattern, in the market.  They simply do not 
predict 
> anything!
> > 
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Experts contend that the market is "random"
> > <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/random%20walk%20theory.htm>  
and
> > "efficient"
> > <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/efficient%20market%
> 20hypothesis.htm> .
> > We all know that random events cannot be predicted and if 
something 
> is
> > really efficient  there are no disparities to capitalize on. 
These 
> two
> > factors alone tell you that the market is impossible, or nearly 
> impossible
> > to predict, using mathematical formulas.  
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > If you would like to learn a little more about technical 
analysis, 
> what
> > works and what doesn't, and what you REALLY need to look for you 
> can read
> > more of my upcoming book.  The start is here "An
> > <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/An%20Analysis%20of%20Technical%
> 20Analysis
> > .htm> Analysis of Technical Analysis" or you can get the quick 
and 
> dirty
> > "summary <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/summary.htm> " here.  
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > It won't cost you a cent, but it might save you several!
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Thanks for reading.
> > 
> >  
> > 
> > Larry





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