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Re: [EquisMetaStock Group] Introducing myself



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You obviously didn't read anything!


Larry
--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Larry Carhartt" <lc@xxxx> 
wrote:
> All I can say is baloney!
>  
> Best,
> 
> Larry Carhartt
> Index & ETF Component Data
>  <http://www.masterdata.com/> www.MasterDATA.com
>  <mailto:lc@x...> lc@xxxx
> 818-701-6686
> 
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Book [mailto:book@x...] 
> Sent: Friday, October 08, 2004 11:01 AM
> To: 'onlinetradersclub '; 'equismetastock '; 'internetstocknews ';
> 'Metastockusers '; 'momostocks '; 'mutualfunds '; 'myqqqsystem '
> Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Introducing myself
> 
> 
> 
> I would like to introduce myself to this group.
> 
>  
> 
> I am a retired manager of a major U.S. corporation. I was educated 
in the
> fields of mathematics, electrical engineering and computer science 
and I
> have had an interest in stock market analysis for nearly 20 years.  
> 
>  
> 
> I believe my background skills have given me a unique insight into 
technical
> analysis, allowing me to look at and understand the mathematics 
behind
> technical analysis formulas, take an unbiased common sense approach 
to the
> results of these formulas and develop a system that does not 
succumb to the
> short falls of Technical Analysis.   
> 
>  
> 
> I have been studying technical analysis in the stock market since 
1987,
> testing and analyzing hundreds of formulas and charts.  I began by 
using
> commercial software with built in formulas, then wrote my own 
formulas and
> finally wrote my own software and formulas. 
> 
>  
> 
> I am now writing a book "An Analysis of Technical Analysis", which 
is far
> from complete but there is some very relevant information that I 
will point
> you to a little later.   
> 
>  
> 
> I have also been lurking and contributing on many forums over the 
last 10
> years or so, and I have made several observations.
> 
>  
> 
> 1.	The questions are generally the same, form year to year.  Some
> technical question on how to get a formula or program to work and 
some
> general questions on how to make a system that really works.  The 
technical
> questions are usually answered in detail but the system questions 
are rarely
> answered except in the most general terms. 
> 
> 2.	There are usually one or two Gurus who expound "I have 
developed a
> system that really works well" but they never give explicit details 
on how
> this system works and they never give actual trades until well 
after the
> trades have happened.  This gives way too much opportunity 
to "adjust" the
> figures.  In other words, they never prove themselves. 
> 
> 3.	After a period of time, a year or less, these Gurus disappear 
from
> the scene.  Did they lose all their money, or can't they just keep 
up the
> BS?
> 
>  
> 
> Why is this the case?  I will answer this a little later.
> 
>  
> 
> First I want to say that I have created a "commercial" market timing
> website, but I will not advertise or even mention the name here so 
that the
> moderator of this group won't ban me.  My main concern is to get 
some very
> pertinent market timing information to those of you who are really
> interested in trying to time the market.
> 
>  
> 
> Let me start out this way.  Technical analysis (using mathematical 
formulas
> only) DOES NOT WORK, WILL NOT WORK, AND YOU WILL JUST LOSE YOUR 
MONEY!
> 
>  
> 
> How can I possibly say such a thing, especially when I said I own a 
market
> timing web site?
> 
>  
> 
> I said "Technical analysis (using mathematical formulas only)".
> Mathematical formulas, no mater how simple or complex, try to match 
a
> recurrence, or pattern, in the market.  They simply do not predict 
anything!
> 
> 
>  
> 
> Experts contend that the market is "random"
> <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/random%20walk%20theory.htm>  and
> "efficient"
> <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/efficient%20market%
20hypothesis.htm> .
> We all know that random events cannot be predicted and if something 
is
> really efficient  there are no disparities to capitalize on. These 
two
> factors alone tell you that the market is impossible, or nearly 
impossible
> to predict, using mathematical formulas.  
> 
>  
> 
> If you would like to learn a little more about technical analysis, 
what
> works and what doesn't, and what you REALLY need to look for you 
can read
> more of my upcoming book.  The start is here "An
> <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/An%20Analysis%20of%20Technical%
20Analysis
> .htm> Analysis of Technical Analysis" or you can get the quick and 
dirty
> "summary <http://www.timeyourfunds.com/book/summary.htm> " here.  
> 
>  
> 
> It won't cost you a cent, but it might save you several!
> 
>  
> 
> Thanks for reading.
> 
>  
> 
> Larry
> 
> 
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