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Jose,
I have never been an advocate of neural networks,
for the stock markets.
But I do think, there would be a correlation,
between frost in Brazil, and prices of Robusta Coffee.
DusantChief Architect<A
href="">http://www.candlestrength.com/
----- Original Message -----
From: "Jose" <<A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>josesilva22@xxxxxxxxx<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>>
To: <<A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>>
Sent: Friday, May 07, 2004 5:21 AM
Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Metstock
"cheats'? showing part of next day data?
<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>> > Dusant,> > Give a Neural Net weather and
market data, and it will find strong > correlations and a winning method
for the past only - the ultimate > curve-fit.> > There are
many dynamic/complex positive/negative correlations in the >
markets. It takes understanding of the fundamental market underlying
> forces before these tools can begin to be useful.> > The
old adage has never been truer:> "Garbage in, garbage out">
> jose '-)> > > --- In <A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx,
"Dusant" <<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>dusant@x...> wrote:> >
Jose,> > > > There are quite a few methods, using software
to forecast. Neural > Networks is one such example which come to mind
straightaway.> > > > They are good for forecasting where the
cause and effect can be > directly correlated like weather
patterns.> > > > So, if an enterprising person can do this
kind of modelling, > > a.. a neural network with weather
patterns and > > b.. agricultural commodity prices as
inputs > > it could be a sell-out.> > > >
MVHO> > > > Dusant> > Chief Architect> >
<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>http://www.candlestrength.com/<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>> > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Jose" <<FONT
face=Verdana size=2>josesilva22@x<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>...>> > To: <<A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>>> > Sent: Thursday, May 06, 2004 5:33 AM> >
Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Metstock "cheats'? showing part > of
next day data?> > > > > > > > > >
Lionel, with all due respect, you will not find any successful > >
> forecasting methods available for the markets, in any large public >
> > library, academic library, or amazon.com> > > >
> > In the ever-shifting sands of the markets, forecasting is a very
> > > complex, dynamic subject. For example, what may have
been > relatively > > > accurate three years ago, may not
work so well now.> > > > > > And as for academic
papers... well, let's just say that the real > > > trading world
and the view from the academic ivory towers are very > > >
different indeed.> > > > > > jose '-)> >
> > > > > > > --- In <A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx,
"Lionel Issen" <<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>lissen@x...> > >
> > wrote:> > > > Jose:> > > >
> > > > Forecasting is a discipline that is taught in many
management > > > courses. It is> > > > used in
industry, insurance companies, and the military.> > > >
> > > > If you want more information just look up forecasting in
a > larger > > > public> > > > library, an
academic library, or amazon.com> > > > > > >
> > > > > Lionel> > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > >
_____ > > > > > > > > From: Rick Carbert
[mailto:rcarbert@xxxx] > > > > Sent: Tuesday, May 04, 2004 5:31
PM> > > > To: <A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>> > > > Subject: RE: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Metstock
"cheats'? > showing > > > part of> > > >
next day data?> > > > > > > > > > >
> My reference is to using historical data. The
year I > mentioned > > > here is> > > >
2003.> > > > > > > > -----Original
Message-----> > > > From: Jose [mailto:josesilva22@xxxx]
> > > > Sent: May 3, 2004 11:06 PM> > > > To:
<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>> > > > Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Metstock
"cheats'? showing > part > > > of next> > >
> day data?> > > > > > > >
Rick,> > > > > > > > Please send me some of that
medication you are on - I would like > to > > > > know
what is happening the next day too! ;)> > > > >
> > > jose '-)> > > > > > > > >
> > > --- In <A
href=""><FONT face=Verdana
size=2>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx,
"rickbc11" <<FONT face=Verdana
size=2>rcarbert@x...> > >
> > > wrote:> > > > > Hi: I am
practising as per Elder's book "Come into My > Trading > > >
> > Room" and using historical EOD data. However, I find that
> when > > > > > looking at my charts, Metastock shows
me what is happening the > > > next > > > > >
day by starting to draw the next days oscillator line either > up or
> > > > > down.> > > >
> For example, on my EOD for May 3,
2003 using the > Stochastic > > > > > osc., I can see
that the next day will probably be up somewhat > > > > >
because the Stochastic indicator has alread started to angle > that
> > > > > way. (Put your crosshair over May 3rd
and you will see what > I > > > > > mean).
> > > > > How can I
set Metastock so that this doesn't happen?> > > > >
Thanks-Rick> > > > > > > > > > >
> > > > > > > > > > > > >
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