[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

[Metastockusers] Re: An ICE experiment--more informaiton on the plug-in



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

Here's a few: Aroon; DEMA; Directional Movement Index; Forecast Osc; 
Four Percent model; Herrick; Inertia; Linear Regression; MACD; MESA 
Sine; all moving averages; Qstick; R-Squared.

There are others. 

JO


--- In Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "eastwind987" <dm999@xxxx> 
wrote:
> JO,
> 
> What other vertical indicators does ICE use?  I understand what 
> Volatility and Volume indicators are, but what is a Vertical 
> indicator?  Can you give us the names of a few?  Thanks.
> 
> DM
> 
> 
> --- In Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "manohohman" <kelols@xxxx> 
> wrote:
> > Previously I had mentioned I had used ICE to finish the 
development 
> > of a trading system that I had been working on. I was looking for 
> > ways to incorporate into my present system a bit more information 
> on 
> > sizing trades. I also explained that ICE had saved me a lot of 
time 
> > in doing this, and that alone made it easily worth the price.
> > 
> > I have another experience to share. Sometimes I'll trade only one 
> > security for days at a time. Maybe it's the Qs or SPYs, as an 
> > example. I will also decide the time frame based on market 
> > volatility. 
> > 
> > As I change time frames, or switch securities, the various 
> indicators 
> > in my system, while still working good, but are not optimal. I 
> > understand this, and it's obviously why I have more than one 
> > indicator in my system, as we all do.
> > 
> > Today, I took a couple of the stocks I sometimes use for that 
style 
> > of trading and decided to see what ICE had to say about my 
> > indicators.  
> > 
> > What I got surprised me. On one of the securities, ICE told me r-
> > squared was as a very profitable indicator. R-squared is a 
> > correlation coefficient, and can be difficult to trade with, but 
> ICE 
> > was telling me it showed the best performance across all 70 
> > indicators I had tested and was definitely the vertical leader by 
a 
> > wide margin. 
> > 
> > I fooled around with it on a chart and finally isolated the best 
R-
> > squared coefficient for that stock in my particular time frame. R-
> > squared is a measure of the correlation  of stock price movement 
to 
> a 
> > linear trend over time. 
> > 
> > I usually use the ADX for my strength of trend information, and I 
> > didn't really want to put an R-squared indicator on my chart, so 
I 
> > wrote it as a highlight formula. (Very simple!). When I set it up 
> as 
> > a highlight, it was terrific at telling me when a trend was 
strong--
> -
> > in other words, when to put more into the trade. In fact, it 
turned 
> > out to be much better than the ADX for that stock in that time 
> frame. 
> > It worked just like ICE implied it should. I would have never 
> guessed 
> > or even tested R-squared on this security, much less suspected it 
> > would out perform the ADX.
> > 
> > Then I decided to see how it faired on one of the other ETFs I 
was 
> > trading in the same time frame. It was really poor. However, ICE 
> told 
> > me MACD was the best. But when I optimized it, I got a weird 
number 
> > for the opt variable. I got a 1. If you open MACD with a 1 for 
the 
> > signal time periods, you get a line that oscillates around 0. As 
it 
> > turns out, for this security on my particular time frame, the 
> > crossing of 0 by the MACD gave great signals for trend changes. 
> > 
> > Again I programmed it as a highlight indicator. I've programmed 
and 
> > tested around a hundred highlight formulas trying to find the 
best 
> > trend indicator that I could. Basically, I had settled on an 
Aroon 
> > formula that I had written, which has tested out as the best I 
have 
> > seen for my purpose. 
> > 
> > When I tested the MACD highlight code on this security in the 
time 
> > frame I'm trading it in, it beat the Aroon code significantly. It 
> > really amazed me how much of a difference it made. The Aroon code 
> was 
> > equally as good at detecting the trend changes, but the MACD code 
> was 
> > smoother and more precise, which equals the ability to see the 
> trend 
> > change sooner and stick with the trade longer---i.e. more profit.
> > 
> >  Of course, I'll have to trade with it for a while to be sure it 
> > works properly and changes in a timely fashion. One problem with 
MS 
> > is it doesn't have a simulator function to test systems on the 
> right 
> > edge with historical data feed. That's a major issue for me, and 
> not 
> > one that Equis is likely to fix. 
> > 
> > I don't know if you'll get as much out of ICE as I have. If you 
> don't 
> > have much experience, it will show you what indicators work best 
on 
> > what you want to trade and it will show you how to eliminate 
> > colinearity issues, which is important. However, you likely won't 
> be 
> > able to do some of the things with it I've just described.
> > 
> > If you are experienced, and do some thinking, you can get some 
> really 
> > valuable information for tweaking out your current systems, or 
for 
> > building new ones. It takes patience, some study, some thinking 
and 
> > some applications knowledge, but in the end what I've gotten is 
> going 
> > to make me a few more percentage points a year—maybe more!
> > 
> > I still can believe it only cost $99. I've mentioned the manual 
> > problem and the missing table of opt values for each indicator, 
> which 
> > is a problem. That's part of the reason it's still only $99.  
> > However, that said, of all the plug-ins I've tried (and I've 
tested 
> a 
> > bunch) this is the only one that really gave me something that's 
> > going to improve my trading. I can't promise you what you will 
get 
> > because that depends on you. Nothing is completely automatic, or 
> fool 
> > proof, but this is good.
> > 
> > JO
> > 
> > P.S.  The formulas are passworded. If you want something that 
gives 
> > you the code, this isn't it. ICE is not written in simple MS 
code. 
> > Not only does it give you the optimized variables, it gives you a 
> > stop level and the indicators are normalized against one and 
other.


------------------------ Yahoo! Groups Sponsor ---------------------~-->
Rent DVDs Online - Over 14,500 titles.
No Late Fees & Free Shipping.
Try Netflix for FREE!
http://us.click.yahoo.com/xlw.sC/XP.FAA/3jkFAA/zMEolB/TM
---------------------------------------------------------------------~->

To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
Metastockusers-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxx

 

Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/