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[EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Naz



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Harold,
Your posts were cool. Just a word, more as a request. Please reduce
the size of your images, as we cannot take them in at a glance, even
with 1024 x 768 resolution.
Thank you.
Dusant

--- In equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, hcour <no_reply@xxxx> wrote:
> Naz Daily
> http://tinyurl.com/eagh
> 
> Naz Weekly
> http://tinyurl.com/eagi
> 
> Naz 3 Channels
> http://tinyurl.com/eagk
> 
> Some Wyckoff pv analysis of the Naz. (The links should work but you 
> may have to join Yahoo Briefcase to view them, it's free.)
> 
> From the start of the uptrend channel Mar, Apr, and mid-May up vol is 
> generally greater than down and there are many strong up days on long 
> spreads closing on the highs w/nice price progress, while down days 
> on the reactions tend to be on lower vol, narrower spreads, and/or 
> shallow price retracement.
> 
> Then 5/27 a wide spread closing on the high on strong vol that closes 
> just above the 5/15 high, which itself was the all-important break 
> above the 12/02 high. This is very positive of course, but look at 
> the following 3 days, all up, but on very narrow spreads and 
> increasingly high vol. 5/27 gains about 50 points in one day, yet 
> those next 3 bars are hardly able to gain that much in total, despite 
> the massive vol. This represents great effort (vol) with little 
> result (price gain) and was perhaps a warning of an exhaustion move.
> 
> On 6/6 of course is a classic looking reversal bar, but then we've 
> had those before. But certainly the massive vol and wide spread 
> closing on the low seems to confirm that earlier weakness.
> 
> After the previous high on volatility (at a possible Buying Climax) 
> we may be cycling to a more quiet period. Volume has dropped off 
> considerably and price appears to be consolidating. Note this week 
> price unable to make a new high or even hold above the 6/05 close 
> once again.
> 
> Looking at the weekly, the week of 6/06 is a breakout of the 
> downtrend channel on massive volume, but closing in the lower half of 
> the range. (This is now the 3rd progressively milder downtrending 
> channel that has been broken on the Naz since the start of the Bear 
> market. See chart.) This week's bar an almost perfect doji, 
> reflecting the low-volatility, consolidation period. Also note the 
> longer-term horizontal s/r we're approaching at 1720ish.
> 
> Candlesticks are especially helpful on the weekly charts. Note the 
> how many times narrow bodies, even with long shadows, are soon 
> followed by strongly trending bars with wide bodies. We now have 2 
> very tight bodies in a row on the weekly as price consolidates. 
> 
> Harold



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