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Re: [Metastockusers] Full time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?



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<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  Adrian Pitt 
  
  To: <A 
  title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Friday, January 17, 2003 12:43 
  AM
  Subject: RE: [Metastockusers] Full time 
  private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
  
  <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
  size=2>Dan,
  <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
  size=2> 
  Is 
  the CMO your referring to the Chande Momentum Oscillator?
  <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
  size=2> 
  <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
  size=2>Adrian
  <FONT face=Arial color=#0000ff 
  size=2> 
  
    
    <FONT 
    face=Tahoma size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Dan 
    [mailto:amarones@xxxxxxx] Sent: Friday, 17 January 2003 3:19 
    AMTo: <A 
    href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: 
    Re: [Metastockusers] Full time private trading... ... an unattainable 
    dream?
    Bill - 
     
    I was fortunate enough to hook up with Steve 
    Karnish (who is an incredible system researcher and person) about a year 
    ago. He shared his work with me and invited me to participate with him in 
    development. What we (he) developed is a very simple trend qualifier and a 
    variation of the CMO. I suppose you could call it the Karnish Momentum 
    System. Very simple, very effective.
     
    Dan Edens
     
     
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    >
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      <DIV 
      >From: 
      <A title=bbeaman@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">Bill Beaman 
      To: <A 
      title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      
      Sent: Thursday, January 16, 2003 7:39 
      AM
      Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Full 
      time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
      
      Dan,
      Did you develop the mechanical system 
      yourself or is it one 'off the shelf'?  Would you share the name or 
      the system?
      Thanks
      Bill Beaman
      <BLOCKQUOTE 
      >
        ----- Original Message ----- 
        <DIV 
        >From: 
        Dan 
        To: <A 
        title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        
        Sent: Thursday, January 16, 2003 
        8:34 AM
        Subject: Re: [Metastockusers] Full 
        time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
        
        Nick- 
         
        I have been trading off and on for about 10 
        years, both privately and as a CTA for a time. I am definatley on the 
        short end of the net zero game as a whole, but my dream of being a full 
        time trader has been revitalized and is on the way to being realized in 
        the last year.
        Who knows, I may blow up the account and 
        have to start over again at some point,  but my experience in 
        trading tells me I've finally found what works for me. I think that 
        is the key - what works for each trader. I spent what feels like a 
        lifetime with everything in the trading world that didn't work for 
        me.
        I disagree that one must switch markets to 
        be consistently successful. If any market has the characteristics of 
        orderly accumulation and distribution and sufficient liquidity, then it 
        can be consistently traded.The markets on the U.S. futures and 
        equity exchanges offer too many issues and markets that exhibit these 
        characteristics for me to consider trading more than just the cream of 
        the crop. I don't think it is necessary to switch from domestic to 
        foreign markets and from equities to futures to be successful - there 
        are so many market personalities within each of those sectors, that the 
        opportunities are far more than I have the capacity to 
        consider.
        For me it would be ludicrous to ignore 
        either the long or short side of the market because it would mean giving 
        up half the potential profits. I use a 100% mechanical system developed 
        with Metastock that averages 76% winners. It's not perfect, but it 
        backtested an average gain of 240% annually over the last 2 years 
        and is perfoming as advertised in real trading.
        For me the clouds have lifted and I can 
        finally see the dream of being a full time successful trader on the way 
        to being realized.
         
        Dan Edens
         
         
         
         
        From: <A title=zaiguy@xxxxxxxxx 
        href="">Nick Leong 
        <BLOCKQUOTE 
        >
          To: <A 
          title=Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          href="">Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          
          Sent: Wednesday, January 15, 2003 
          4:29 PM
          Subject: [Metastockusers] Full 
          time private trading... ... an unattainable dream?
          
           Hi group,
          I’ve been reading some 
          articles about the hedge fund management industry and how most funds 
          sustained losses over the past 2 years especially since Sept 11 and 
          the US corporate scandal. This is coupled with a statistic I read that 
          most novice traders leave the trading arena after about 3 months. 
          These events really got me thinking… … is it really possible for one 
          to be a full time private trader?
          I’ve been trading 
          privately for about 4 years not and like most of you I’ve had my ups 
          and downs. I am a firm believer that trading the market is a zero sum 
          game. Someone MUST lose in order for me to make a gain. However, the 
          law of averages dictates that it is just not possible for anyone to be 
          winning all the time. That being the case, is it actually possible for 
          anyone to be a full time private trader (i.e. trade using only his own 
          money and make a living out of it)?
          The only possible way for 
          one to make money is possibly to be engaged in the right market at the 
          right time, e.g. to switch between the equities/futures/derivatives 
          markets or switch between the US/Europe/Asian markets. But we must 
          also remember that a private trader does not have the resources or the 
          mental capacity to handle so much information or research at a single 
          time. What option would be left then? To specialise and trade only in 
          specific markets and sit things out when everything is not going well? 
          Do not forget that a downturn in the market can last for 
          years.
          We can go into the nitty 
          gritty and say that we must set up stops to prevent losses, but I’m 
          sure most of you have been in the situation where you were stopped out 
          too early or you had given so much room before being stopped out that 
          you suffered a painful loss. Don’t get me wrong, I believe that 
          trading and investing is an art and there is no one mechanical way of 
          getting the right results. Ultimately, we are all looking for one 
          thing… …PROFITS. However, I have come under the increasing impression 
          that the odds are severely stacked against the private 
          trader.
          I look forward to hearing 
          from you guys on this matter.
          Thanks.
          <SPAN lang=EN-GB 
          >Nick 
          Leong
          
          
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