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Preston,
Thanks for the feedback. I agree with your comment:
the shark is'nt bad, but it gives only a few signals.
I composed a signal based on:
-strength of an index (AEX, but you can also take
S&P e.g.) with help of willr-formula's
-strength of the fund itself, with
willr-formula's
-plus volatility
See it:
Per1:=Input("length",2,100,13);
A:=(Sqrt((Mov((0.1+HHV((Security("AEX",C)/C),18)-(Security("AEX",C)/C))/(HHV((Security("AEX",C)/C),18)-LLV((Security("AEX",C)/C),18)+0.1)*-100,9,E)+100)*-WillR(80)+1)
-5/3*LLV(0.4*(((((Std(Log(C/Ref(C,-1)),20)*Sqrt(365))-Mov((Std(Log(C/Ref(C,-1)),20)*Sqrt(365)),90,S))/Mov((Std(Log(C/Ref(C,-1)),20)*Sqrt(365)),90,E))*100))+30,40)+100)/2;Sig:=Mov(A,3,E);
UB:=Ref(HHV(A,Per1*3)*.95,-1); LB:=Ref(LLV(A,Per1*3)*1.05,-1);
UB;LB;Sig;A;
I combine above signal with a buy !-signal
(one A4 page long) and a sell signal. The result is reasonable, but I am looking
for improvements, especially for selling.
Looking to teh above indicator, you should buy at a
-first or better a 2nd top (look at indicator) and sell at a 1th or 2nd
bottom.
Henk
----- Original Message -----
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
<A href="mailto:no_reply@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=no_reply@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>pumrysh
To: <A
href="mailto:equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>equismetastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Wednesday, October 09, 2002 9:14
PM
Subject: [EquisMetaStock Group] Re: Good
Signal to Sell
Henk,Thanks for sharing the formula! I tried the
Sell Shark indicator on a chart of Coca Cola from 1995 to 2000. I got 2
signals from the indicator. This was basically a trending market but there
were more than 2 sell opportunities during this period of time. I counted
at least 10 other opportunities. I believe the indicator is not
resetting after the first signals. I'll take a look to see if I can
come up with something to make it more robust. Maybe someone else will
have some ideas as well.P--- In equismetastock@xxxx,
"Henk Kloosterman" <henkkloosterman@xxxx> wrote:>
Hello,> > > My timing to buy is mostly OK, but I do not
recognize sell patterns very well. I am aware of most regular sell signals
built-in in metastocks and at the guppy site.> By combining several
other formula's I have made a few signals to sell, but these are not
proven yet and slow due to the mixtures. Further I am reading sites that
analyze the volatility of e.g. Nasdaq (www.joefrocks.com) fear versus
complacency for VXN and VIX.> One of the sell signals I found at
internet, which is reasonable is the "sell shark":>
symmetry:=.28;> apex:=(H+L)/2;> wb:=Ref(H,-2)-Ref(L,-2);>
Shark:=If((H<Ref(H,-1)AND L>Ref(L,-1)AND Ref(H,-1)<Ref(H,-2)AND
Ref(L,-1)>Ref(L,-2))=1,If(apex>=(Ref(L,-2)+
(wb*symmetry)),1,0),0);>
sellok:=Cross(ValueWhen(1,shark=1,Ref(L,-2)),C);>
chk:=Cum(sellok)-ValueWhen(1,shark=1,Cum(sellok));>
validchk:=Alert(shark=1,25);> sell:=sellok=1 AND Ref(chk,-1)=0 AND
validchk=1;> sell;> > What I am looking for, is a more
precise alarm to take profit/sell because I am planning to buy call
options early november and keep those for minimum 1 month but may be
longer. To take profit or sell the timing is important..> >
> Anybody has experience?> > Thanks,
HenkTo
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