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RE: [Metastockusers] shudder - why???



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<FONT face=Arial 
size=2>Pring:
<FONT face=Arial 
size=2> 
The chaos that 
Dusant refers to is not the same as mathematical chaos.  I think that 
Mandlebrot chose a poor word when he called his mathematics "chaos 
theory".  He should have called it something like "abrupt change theory". 
In your email you are nitpicking, incorrectly, at someone who is is very 
knowledgeable and perceptive. 
<FONT face=Arial 
size=2> 
Lionel 
Issen
 
<FONT face=Tahoma 
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Pring 
[mailto:pring99@xxxxxxxxx]Sent: Friday, October 04, 2002 12:22 
AMTo: Metastockusers@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: 
[Metastockusers] shudder - why???Dusant,First 
of all, interesting choice of words - "chaoticconditions".  Bill 
Williams describes chaos as a"higher sense of order".With that in 
mind, stop and think for a minute aboutthe excesses that occurred in the 
last bull market. It was out of control to say the least.  People 
whoknew nothing about trading could toss a dart and makemoney on some 
internet stock that was doubling in aweek - on a company that never turned a 
dime inprofits.  People's retirement accounts were advancingbeyond 
what anyone had ever experienced.  Valuationswere off the 
map.What did you think was going to happen to that kind 
ofmarket?Take a look at the attached MS chart of the S&P 
backto 1985 (that was all the data I had).  You can seethat all we 
are doing is returning to a sense of orderhere.So, my suggestion is 
still to lighten up and flowalong with the market.  Smile a 
little!Pring_____________________Point 
1)  Its not because of "my" Fib Projections that we arewitnessing 
chaotic  conditions. Its because of the chaotic conditionscreated 
that  (probably) the Fib Proj could come true.  Point 
2)  Is it not what public opinion is all about? Why showmy chart to 
your  Representatives? Think about the enormous loss oflife and 
damage to  property these actions are going to cause!!  
Pring, I can take a dig at myself, no issues there.  Frankly, 
however, this matter does not make mesmile.  Dusant 
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