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Re: Dynamic Zones (part1-article)



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<P align=left><FONT size=2>Re: Dynamic Zones-(part1) - </FONT><FONT 
size=2>formula</FONT><FONT size=2>+article </FONT><FONT size=2>(part 2 = 
article's gif)<BR><BR>Basicaly the formula was previously given in the floating 
Dynamic OB/OS Zones and<BR>for a variaty of indicators. Included were:<BR>the 
Bollinger %BBand(20), RSI(9 or 14), CMO(10 or 20) etc. etc.<BR>and formula was 
derived from an article in the Dutch TAM-magazine.<BR><BR>Notes:<BR>The Standard 
Deviation (see MS-man. p. 276-466-493)<BR>1.0000 stdev = 68.26%, the 68% 
confidence/fear level (roughly Fractal 2/3 Retracement)<BR>1.3185 stdev = 
90.00%, the 90% confidence/fear level (OB/OS-Zones)<BR><BR>Here is a (re-) 
written version, now for the also here below included 
July97-TASC-article:<BR><BR>Name:<BR>Dynamic Zones - 
Zamanski&amp;Stendahl<BR><BR>Formula:<BR>{Zamansky&amp;Stendahl's Dynamic Zones 
for MS6.5.<BR>(From the TASC July1997 article). First for the<BR>Lookback 
Periods plot a 9-day RSI along with<BR>StDev adjusted rolling 70-day SMAs, eg as 
can<BR>be seen in the article's S&amp;P500-example}<BR>PR:=Input("Enter Periods 
for RSI",1,100,9);<BR>PB:=Input("Enter Periods for 
BUY",1,100,70);<BR>PS:=Input("Enter Periods for 
SELL",1,100,70);<BR>UpZone:=Mov(RSI(PR),PS,S)+(1.3185 
*Stdev(RSI(PR),PS));<BR>LwZone:=Mov(RSI(PR),PB,S)-(1.3185 
*Stdev(RSI(PR),PB));<BR>UpZone;<BR>LwZone;<BR><BR>Regards,<BR>Ton Maas<BR><A 
href="mailto:ms-irb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>ms-irb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A><BR>Dismiss the 
".nospam" bit (including the dot) when replying.<BR></P></FONT></FONT></DIV>
<CENTER>&nbsp;</CENTER>
<CENTER>&nbsp;</CENTER>
<CENTER>
<HR noShade SIZE=6 width="65%">
<B>NEW TECHNIQUES</B> 
<HR noShade width="33%">
<BR><BR>
<P></P></CENTER>
<H1 align=center>Dynamic<BR>Zones </H1>
<CENTER>
<P>
<HR>
<B><I>by Leo Zamansky, Ph.D., and David Stendahl</I></B><BR>
<HR>

<P></P></CENTER>
<BLOCKQUOTE>
  <P><I><FONT size=+1>Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. 
  Here's a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the 
  indicator.</FONT></I> 
  <HR>
  <BR><BR><FONT size=+1>O</FONT>ne approach to active investing employs the use 
  of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows 
  a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has 
  moved far above or below traditional trading levels. However, these 
  oscillator-driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because 
  they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and 
  sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear 
  market. And therein lies the problem.<BR><BR>Once traders begin introducing 
  their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they 
  negate the system's mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system 
  automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade 
  in any market -- bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem 
  of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.<BR>
  <P></P>
  <P><B>CALCULATING THE DYNAMIC ZONES<BR></B>The algorithm for the dynamic zones 
  is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period <FONT 
  size=+1>t</FONT>. Next, decide the value of the probability <FONT 
  size=+1>P</FONT><FONT size=-2>buy</FONT> for buy zone and value of the 
  probability <FONT size=+1>P</FONT><FONT size=-2>sell</FONT> for the sell 
  zone.<BR><BR><BR></P></BLOCKQUOTE>
<CENTER>
<P>&nbsp;</P></CENTER>
<BLOCKQUOTE>
  <BLOCKQUOTE>
    <CENTER>
    <P><B>Figure 1: Buy and sell zones, S&amp;P 500. </B><I>Figure 1 illustrates 
    the buy and sell zones for the Standard &amp; Poor's 500 market using a 
    nine-day relative strength indicato. The area above and below the dynamic 
    zones constitute the upper and lower 10% boundaries. The zones appear to 
    evolve with the market because they use a rolling 70-day period of indicator 
    values in their construction.</I><B> 
</B><BR><BR><BR></P></CENTER></BLOCKQUOTE>
  <P>Figure 1 illustrates the buy and sell zones for the Standard &amp; Poor's 
  500 market using a nine-day relative strength indicator (RSI). The area above 
  and below the dynamic zones constitute the upper and lower 10% boundaries. The 
  zones appear to evolve with the market because they use a rolling 70-day 
  period of indicator values in their construction.<BR><BR></P></BLOCKQUOTE>
<P>
<HR>
<I>Leo Zamansky is president of Rina Systems, Inc., which specializes in the 
design, development, evaluation and improvement of trading systems.<BR>David C. 
Stendahl is a professional trader and vice president of financial services with 
Rina Systems. Rina Systems is the developer of Performance Summary Plus and 
Portfolio Evaluator, performance evaluation software packages for Omega 
Research's TradeStation and SuperCharts. Zamansky and Stendahl can be reached at 
513 772-7462.</I> 
<P></P>
<H5><I>Excerpted from an article originally published in the July 1997 issue of 
Technical Analysis of STOCKS &amp; COMMODITIES magazine. <BR>© Copyright 1997, 
Technical Analysis, Inc. All rights reserved.</I></H5>
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From: "A.J. Maas" <anthmaas@xxxxxx>
To: "Metastock-List" <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: Re: Dynamic Zones (part2-gif)
Date: Sat, 14 Aug 1999 02:16:23 +0200
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