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Re: Weekly Pick



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Yes, put me on your list at 
Pete.B@xxxxxxxxxxx</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From: 
    </B>Jim Greening &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:JimGinVA@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>JimGinVA@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: 
    </B>Metastock &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
    </B>Saturday, September 12, 1998 1:56 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>Weekly 
    Pick<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>All,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; The market did move 
    up yesterday and I did open my DELL position at 56 3/8.&nbsp; So far so 
    good, now if it will just follow through &lt;G&gt;.&nbsp; I took a long look 
    at the indices last night and they are acting right for my theory.&nbsp; To 
    expand it a little, I believe the DJIA is trying to set up a volatile 
    sideways or horizontal channel trading range between 7500 and 8000.&nbsp; 
    The DJIA is not near the bottom of any of my trend channels but both the OEX 
    and SPX are bouncing off the bottom of long term channels.&nbsp; There is , 
    however, some support for the DJIA near 7500 from the Jan lows and 
    resistance above 8000 from last falls highs.&nbsp; Looking at the daily 
    action, the DJIA has tested the 7500 level three times in the last two weeks 
    so it does look like a bottoming action.&nbsp; With the volatility we have 
    seen, I fully expect another test of the 8000 level soon.&nbsp; However, 
    this is still a somewhat tenuous theory and a long way from reality.&nbsp; I 
    will commit to positions to play the theory, but want to do so more 
    cautiously then usual with very close stops.&nbsp; That means any stock I 
    pick must be close to the bottom of the channel since I set my stops under 
    the channel and preferable has just bounced up a little.&nbsp; Also I'm only 
    going to play the large market leaders in groups I'm interested in.&nbsp; 
    </FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Even with the large 
    DELL position and my normal size RDC position, I'm still over 50% cash and 
    want at least one more position to play the bounce I'm hoping for.&nbsp; I 
    think the brokers and financial service groups have been over punished and 
    over sold lately so that's the group for this weeks pick.&nbsp; I narrowed 
    my list to Schwab and Travelers Group (TRV) and decided on TRV since it is 
    so over sold and since Sandy Weill always bounces back.&nbsp; I only wish I 
    had ridden his coat tails more in the past &lt;G&gt;.&nbsp; TRV is going to 
    be the true financial services giant when the merger with Citicorp is 
    completed.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; TRV at 40 7/8 broke 
    out of a Short Term Down Trend Channel Friday on good volume.&nbsp; It's 
    also in a Long Term Up Trend Channel (LTUTC) with the top at 80 3/8 and the 
    bottom at 38.&nbsp; It peaked at 73 3/8 on 4/6/98 and then went into a four 
    month CANSLIM cup type formation but failed to breakout in Jul and then went 
    into a tail spin to a low of 36.4375 Friday morning before the good up 
    move.&nbsp; Looking at the chart, the last week shows a typical Equivolume 
    reversal pattern with TRV bouncing off the bottom of the LTUTC twice on high 
    volume.&nbsp; It closed at the lows on the first bounce, but closed at the 
    highs yesterday.&nbsp; The Support/Resistance and CMO indicators look like 
    the beginning of a reversal pattern.&nbsp; The fundamentals are better than 
    ever with the PE at 12.1, price/sales at 1.1, return on equity at 17.5%, 5 
    yr. revenue growth rate at 49% and 5 yr. earnings growth rate at 19%.&nbsp; 
    TRV just kept growing while the stock price dropped.&nbsp; That's why I 
    think it's so over sold and such a bargain right here.&nbsp; I'll take a 
    long position at Monday's open, set my target just under the top of the 
    LTUTC at 80 and my mental stop just under it at 37 3/4.&nbsp; I'd like to 
    hang on to this one as a long term core position if it will let me so I'll 
    wait until a good short term up trend channel forms before moving my stop up 
    to it.&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; I'm sending a 
    TRV.GIF chart to everyone on my email chart list.&nbsp; If you're not on the 
    list, and want on, just yell.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 
size=2>Jim&nbsp;</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Sun Sep 13 08:54:18 1998
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From: "Sean W. Smith" <sean_smith@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: RE: QP2 - One More Time
Date: Sun, 13 Sep 1998 10:25:27 -0400
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> -----Original Message-----
> From: owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> [mailto:owner-metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Don Hughes
> Sent: Saturday, September 12, 1998 6:18 PM
> To: metastock@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: QP2 - One More Time
>
>
> Metastock QP'ers:
>
> I need your help one more time. I created my QP Profile from my
> Metastock Data File, restarted my computer (as asked),

What did you do in this step???  I was unaware that you could use existing
MS data to create a virutal profile.  I would guess your problem lies
somewhere in these steps.

 went into
> Metastock, pointed to the Profile and requested a stock to chart,
> it told me that the data was out of sequence.  I went into the
> downloader, and brought up the data in spreadsheet format and it
> was garbage.  Fields were not in the proper sequence, it looked
> like an extra field had been added that wasn't expected, the
> fields were skewed on a diagonal line (looking from one line of
> data to another.  What have I done wrong?  Thank You
>
> Don Hughes
>