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I read that 70$ was the minimum price to equilibrium, above companies
make profit with the new wells. I mean the hard to reach new places with
poor quality crude oil.
Many major oil wells are declining between 7% and 15% per year. The
parallel move will not last for long...IMHO.
Best regards
Edward Pottasch a écrit :
>
> Cheap oil is bad, it means recession or worse depression :) The
> reasoning changes all the time. whatever fills the page. Oil and
> markets now move parallel. I thought the average production costs of
> oil is 70$/barrel. Guess today it's cheaper.
>
>
>
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> *From:* brian_z111 <mailto:brian_z111@xxxxxxxxx>
> *To:* amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> *Sent:* Thursday, November 06, 2008 3:02 PM
> *Subject:* [amibroker] Re: OT: Fed to cut rates below 1% soon ?
>
> Sounds like you are on the USD (smile!)
>
> The news is out on the net - it's 50 bp (inflation heading down but
> still above ECB target rate?).
>
> Sorry Ed but the FX market appears to be indifferent to such news.
>
> There is an eerie hush around world markets right now .... strangest
> response of all is that no one is interested in the positive effect
> oil at $70 has on industrial economies ... it seems to be trading in
> a band capped at 70 (is oil in the tent?).
>
> brian_z
>
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> <mailto:amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>, "Tomasz Janeczko" <groups@xxx>
> wrote:
> >
> > 150 bp cut by BoE - nice:-) Do they know something we don't know
> yet?
> > Time for 100 bp cut by ECB ?
> >
> > Best regards,
> > Tomasz Janeczko
> > amibroker.com
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Tomasz Janeczko" <groups@xxx>
> > To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:amibroker%40yahoogroups.com>>
> > Sent: Friday, October 24, 2008 8:03 AM
> > Subject: [amibroker] OT: Fed to cut rates below 1% soon ?
> >
> >
> > > Hello,
> > >
> > > Did you see this daily effective FED rate chart:
> > > http://www.newyorkfed.org/charts/ff/
> <http://www.newyorkfed.org/charts/ff/>
> > >
> > > Usually effective rate follows closely target rate (currently at
> 1.5%)
> > >
> > > In recent days effective FED rate dropped below 1%.
> > >
> > > It looks to me that FED is going to be walking in footsteps of
> Japan central bank in '90s.
> > >
> > > Now EBC funds still at 3.75% ? They are going to cut fast, much
> faster than FED, IMHO.
> > > If situation evolves in that direction we are going to see EURUSD
> = 1.0 soon
> > > and probably Japanese Yen remaining the strongest currency for
> months to come.
> > >
> > > Any thoughts?
> > >
> > > Best regards,
> > > Tomasz Janeczko
> > > amibroker.com
> > >
> > > ------------------------------------
>
>
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