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[amibroker] Re: OT: A mathematicians guide to the news



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I think the group of countries call "Asian Tigers" that suffered a
similar bubble-then-collapse in the '80s & '90s would be offended by
you calling them 'anglos'.  

This is a problem with free market capitalism - not race and culture.

ReefBreak



--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "brian_z111" <brian_z111@xxx> wrote:
>
> Good call Tomasz..... and it is worth a post to caution traders that 
> it seems unlikely the root causes will be acknowledged or fixed... in 
> fact I doubt some contributing factors can be eliminated (cultural 
> and individual/corporate rights issues etc) ... 5-10 years from now 
> we will do it all again, with a new crew on board.... be aware that 
> after a sustained bull run markets won't just fall they will undergo 
> leveraged deficit implosions.
> 
> Some relevant factors:
> 
> - anglo countries tendency to run current account deficits (big ones 
> in fact)
> - incorrect and unimaginative Federal fiscal policies (I am not 
> picking on the US because it is not confined to the US)
> - modern cultures tendency to run on credit as normal (in the anglo 
> countries acceptance of credit is a generational change ... perhaps 
> on all modern economies)
> - the theory that interest rates and property/stockmarket booms run 
> in opposed cycles is incorrect ... leveraged property booms and 
> leveraged market cycles feed off each other
> - democracy delivers us freedom from civil war but not necessarily 
> great leadership
> - statistically speaking, brilliant people only comprise a small % of 
> our community and they are unlikely to ever hold power in any field 
> of endeavour (they are always outweighed by popular opinion).
> 
> Traders need to adapt their methods to the dominant financial 
> paradigm.
> 
> 
> 
> Predictions?
> 
> Currently 'new' Asian economies are cash based but they will emulate 
> the modern western economies along with growing maturity and 
> generational change.
> 
> Perhaps Japan is the example in that they learnt the lesson of 
> copying western economic excesses in the 90's and have returned to 
> their cultural roots of being a thrifty society....but can that 
> culturesurvive the new generation IT?
> 
> 
> Still nothing that the 'mother of all sales' of kids, boys and girls 
> toys won't fix.
> 
> brian_z
> 
> 
> --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Tomasz Janeczko" <groups@> 
> wrote:
> >
> > It was known since 'the beginning of the universe' that there is no 
> profit without risk
> > but there are always new generations of "experts" that say 
> that "this time is different".
> > And the market proves they are wrong, and the history repeats over 
> and over again.
> > The problem is that the leverage goes up and up and subsequent 
> disasters getting stronger. 
> > 
> > Best regards,
> > Tomasz Janeczko
> > amibroker.com
> > ----- Original Message ----- 
> > From: "Yuki Taga" <yukitaga@>
> > To: <amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Friday, October 03, 2008 1:50 PM
> > Subject: [amibroker] OT: A mathematicians guide to the news
> > 
> > 
> > > http://www.slate.com/id/2201428/
> > > 
> > > Yuki
> > > 
> > > 
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> >
>



------------------------------------

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