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[amibroker] Re: Technical Vs technofundamental trading



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Hi Franco,

Interesting link!  But even if you get the fundamentals right (which
can be incredibly difficult) as the old saying goes -- the market can
remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

Mark
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, Franco Gornati <francogornati@xxxx>
wrote:
> Well .. should be said that Enron was the big short of Jim Chanos
just on
> the merit of its fundamentals but his analysis was not the of kind
that
> can be systemized or backtested and sure one that needs a high
level of
> expertise.
> Here's his testimony to the Full Committee on Energy and Commerce
>
http://energycommerce.house.gov/107/hearings/02062
002Hearing483/Chanos782.htm
> 
> -Franco
> 
> ----- Original Message ---------------
> 
> Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re: Technical Vs technofundamental trading
>    From: "duke.jones" <Duke.Jones@xxxx>
>    Date: Mon, 07 Feb 2005 22:38:47
>      To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx,
>           amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> 
> >
> >Have to agree with Fred here...by the time the fundamentals turned
the stock was in the teens. Here is a little history. 
http://208.149.108.73/pubfiles/enecollapse.pdf
> >
> >Duke Jones, CMT
> >
> >-------Original Message-------
> >> From: "Fred" <ftonetti@xxxx>
> >> Subject: [amibroker] Re: Technical Vs technofundamental trading
> >> Sent: 07 Feb 2005 22:31:13
> >>
> >>  Price action in Enron was more than enough to tell one where
Enron
> >>  was going or at least that one didn't wnat to be long in it way
> >>  before in serious price trouble.  The fundamentals lagged in
that
> >>  case simply because they weren't being accurately reported but
in any
> >>  case fundamentals lag.  One can certainly use general market
prices
> >>  as an indicator of where the economy is going but it doesn't
work the
> >>  other way around.
> >>  
> >>  --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Pal Anand"  wrote:
> >>  >
> >>  > Hi,
> >>  >
> >>  > I agree with what was said in another forum by another member,
that
> >>  > if people had followed the proper fundamental criteria
(inaddition
> >>  to
> >>  > technical criteria), they wouldn't have bought Enron and many
other
> >>  > financial basket cases.
> >>  >
> >>  > rgds, Pal
> >>  >
> >>  > --- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Claude Caruana"
> >>  >  wrote:
> >>  > > Hi all,
> >>  > >
> >>  > > I am an Amibroker user for a few weeks now and I must say
it is
> >>  > about to
> >>  > > turn my trading method 180%.
> >>  > >
> >>  > > I initially purchased Amibroker to be able to generate
optimal
> >>  > signals for a
> >>  > > watchlist of around 100 stocks which I have selected for
their
> >>  > fundumentals,
> >>  > > however I am finding that my results work much better and
more
> >>  > consistently
> >>  > > on the entire stock universe (The 7000 tickers I have
loaded in
> >>  my
> >>  > db) than
> >>  > > if I try running it on any watchlists containing less that
200
> >>  > tickers.
> >>  > >
> >>  > > I find that, in general, the most reliable entry signals
occur
> >>  very
> >>  > > infrequently, and hence, signals are too few and far apart
to
> >>  create
> >>  > > consistent results when the basis is my 100 stock watchlist.
If I
> >>  > try to
> >>  > > "loosen the parameters" and get an optimal number of
signals for
> >>  my
> >>  > 100
> >>  > > stocks, then the system will not be as reliable as the one
> >>  > with "tighter
> >>  > > parameters" scanning the entire stock universe.
> >>  > >
> >>  > > Before I ditch my fundumental approach (which quite franky
has
> >>  yet
> >>  > to give
> >>  > > me positve results!) altogether and start using a
technical-only
> >>  > system, I
> >>  > > would be very grateful if anybody could confirm whether my
> >>  > observation about
> >>  > > entry signals is normal, or whether I am missing something.
> >>  > Finally, are
> >>  > > there any of you out there who trade using technicals only?
> >>  > >
> >>  > > thanks for any feedback!
> >>  > >
> >>  > > Claude
> >>  
> >>  Check AmiBroker web page at:
> >>  http://www.amibroker.com/
> >>  
> >>  Check group FAQ at:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html
> >>  
> >>  YAHOO! GROUPS SPONSOR
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Service.
> >-------Original Message-------
> >
> >
> >
> >Check AmiBroker web page at:
> >http://www.amibroker.com/
> >
> >Check group FAQ at:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/files/groupfaq.html 
> >Yahoo! Groups Links
> >
> >
> >
> > 
> >
> >





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