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[amibroker] Exit Strategy (was Re: TJ: TASC February 2005 Traders Tips)



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Actually, I would not use a Break-Even stop either.  The reason being
that when one is investing for the long-term, the short-term
fluctuations may take out the Break-Even stop, leaving you flat.  The
only stop I would use is a worst case stop-loss based on fundamentals.   

I find it rather silly and unnecessary to use a profit target. I might
consider using a limit order to sell at projected high of the day.  I
would just exit at the open or close when circumstances warrant it. 
When the framework of evidence collapes, the architecture is merely an
illusion, a mirage, or in other words, castles in the air.  If my
beliefs cause shock in others, my sincere apologies...

rgds, Pal
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "yukitaga" <yukitaga@xxxx> wrote:
> 
> Someone who shall remain nameless tossed out this gem for serious 
> consideration (watch the line wrap):
> 
> > Is exiting a portion of your trade before your profit target is
> > hit a viable strategy?
> 
> (watch the line wrap)
> 
> http://www.traders.com/Documentation/FEEDbk_docs/Abstracts_new/Passam
> onte/Passamonte.html
> 
> The guy who wrote this is a real kick.  ^^_^^  First, he begins his 
> article with an invocation to the sanctity of mathematics, which I 
> don't really have a problem with.  But then he proceeds to set up a 
> straw man using statistics, which Mark Twain had a commentary on 
> something to the superlative of 'damned lies'.
> 
> (If you have never read "Letters From The Earth" [Mark Twain], you 
> are missing one of the great satirical writings in the English 
> language.  I don't literally ROTFLOL very often, but I did many 
> times when reading that book.)
> 
> The whole *point* of taking something off the table before some 
> profit target is hit seems to be beyond this self-
> proclaimed "professional trader" who (I paraphrase) doesn't bother 
> with a "few points" on the S&P, but who holds out for 5 to 10 points 
> or more on every trade.
> 
> I'm impressed . . . ^^_^^  No, really!  ^^_^^  I love taking the 
> other side of the trade against people who know where the market is 
> headed before it arrives there, and who aren't going to take 
> any "nonsenese" from the market if it happens to disagree.
> 
> But this God's gift to trading doesn't even seem to understand that 
> one RAISES THE STOP when one takes a partial profit on a position.  
> The whole point, the only point, and the point that counts is: 
> DEFENSE.  That is why one takes partial profits.  One does not do it 
> attempting to maximize profits, but to protect capital.  
> Maximization of profit is wonderful.  Hey, I'm all for it.  But only 
> AFTER the defense is set up.  Before that, the whole idea is 
> balderdash and hooey gooey poppycock.  Perhaps someone else has 
> better and more modern adjectives.  My English is dated.  In any 
> case, defense first, and anyone who doesn't play that way is dead 
> meat in this business.
> 
> But the silly little argument with charts in that article has 
> someone taking a profit, then leaving the stop below breakeven.
> 
> Duh!  Gee, I wonder why the math works out like that?  *_*
> 
> Sorry, but I just couldn't let that little bit of 3-card Monty go 
> without a challenge.
> 
> Yuki





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