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[amibroker] "Random prices" (was Re: Backtest using equity curve)



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Two [different] things:
1. A small part of your "plus" series is enough to make some money 
out of this traffic.
2. Shall we begin the Godel's T/A thread ? I'm out in advance.
Nice message !!
Dimitris Tsokakis
--- In amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx, "Howard Bandy" <howardbandy@xxxx> 
wrote:
> Assume that we (or someone else who is brighter than we are) can 
model
> market movements using an equation consisting of several terms -- 
say long
> term trend, plus long time cycle, plus short time cycle, plus 
supply and
> demand, plus news, plus market maker manipulation, plus sunspot 
activity,
> plus anything else that can be imagined.  Anything that cannot be 
attributed
> to a specific term, or any error in our modeling process, is lumped 
together
> as residual.  The modeler will repeatedly analyze the residual 
looking for
> non-random characteristics and remove them by adding additional 
terms to the
> equation.  Whatever is left (whatever cannot be understood or 
modeled) is
> random noise.  At least until a better model with a smaller random 
component
> is developed.  
> 
> Howard
> 
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: uenal.mutlu@xxxx [mailto:uenal.mutlu@x...]
> > Sent: Monday, November 17, 2003 9:40 AM
> > To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > Subject: Re: [amibroker] "Random prices" (was Re: Backtest using 
equity
> > curve)
> > 
> > Why should there be a random component in price movement?
> > Supply and demand (plus News) drives the price.
> > 
> > 
> <<<SNIP>>>


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