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<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>I'm willing to do the work I think, have been trying to
already, to the best of my limited understanding.
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>but it's the concept of what to look for and how that
puzzles me. sometimes I do get nice backtest numbers, at least moderately nice.
but if I don't understand why that should be possible given what's been said
about the dynamics of market evolution, why should I believe
them?
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>I keep coming back to the same question that I'm sure
you're all sick to death of, I know I am: if auto-optimization isn't very
successful, doesn't that imply that past performance tells us very little about
the future, and if that's the case, how do we develop trading
systems?
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>dave
<SPAN
class=517260120-17102003>
<BLOCKQUOTE
>>
...frankly, it's hard to see how rational > trading system design is
possible in> a world like this. or am I just depressed?I like
Edison's attitude when looking for the right material to use in the light
bull. When yet another "bright" idea (sorry I could not resist) failed
when tested, he is reported to have said, "We are making progress. We now
know of 999 things that will not work." After trying everything from
bamboo to who knows what, he eventually found the right material.
Genius is 5% inspiration and 95%
perspiration.b
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