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Re: [amibroker] Optimal solutions of the past and future profits



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"I will not speak again for Stochastic RSI"

Thank God. For those that are interested:

Me and the boyz (and grrls) covered our short positions (QQQ) on the opening yesterday. In the worst market in recent memory, the system has now profited on ten out of the last eleven trades. The single loser was -.75, with the winners summing 27.16. Profits since 11/1/01 have exceeded the underlying price of the issue. The approach is traded by many, with real money. Nothing has been changed or tweaked for years. Over the years, many forum members have received this formula by "politlely" asking for it (see formula section of website). It continues to produce "out-of-sample" (and more importantly, in real accounts).

Again, the StoRSI is a tool to unlock profits in the QQQ. Used with a simple 21 period SMA, it continues "ring the register". It's hard to believethat anyone would "lobby" against an approach that continues to produce profits. If anyone decides to risk capital on this issue (or others), one must decide on an approach and then actually implement it. I do not have a new approach every week for this market. This is the one and only approach I have ever posted for this trading vehicle.

I am convinced that there are hundreds and maybe thousands of systems that will trade the Q's better. This is just one, simple approach that has been "public" and that has not changed for years. I have nothing to hide andnothing to sell. Please take the information and improve on it.

Take care,

Steve Karnish, CTA
Cedar Creek Trading
www.cedarcreektrading.com
1-877-668-1125
----- Original Message ----- 
From: Dimitris Tsokakis 
To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Thursday, July 25, 2002 5:34 AM
Subject: [amibroker] Optimal solutions of the past and future profits


Last June 5, 2001, I posted to this list the Tushar Chande Stochastic RSI and my Stochastic CCI.
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/2394
I will not speak again for Stochastic RSI, we have seen a lot of details for this popular indicator, which
presents now an optimal solution [8-13-87] for QQQ, running at a +250% for the last 30 months.
Besides the difficult question of the selection of this [8-13-87] combination [although I read ...carefully
the messages, I have not seen any kind of explanation, serious or humorous, by the user of this combination]
I wrote that this +250% is not one of the best QQQ performances.
We have seen a lot of QQQ systems running between +500% and +600% or better.
I understand that it is not fair to compare different design approaches. It is very difficult for Stochastic RSI to
be competitive to D-ratio or RSIt or MeanRSI TTM.
So, let us compare the quite similar Stochastic RSI and Stochastic CCI.
Beginning from March 2000 till June 2001, there were two almost equal solutions for the respective
StochCCI system, [I follow symmetric triggering just for the comparisonunder equal terms, my personal opinion 
for symmetric triggering is analytically expressed in other postings]running at +303% and +302%, with 
equal # of 10 trades/9 winners/1 loser, as you may see in the StochCCI 1 gif .
You could select one of them or both of them.
Now, one year later, we may see the [7,13] at +405% and the [6,15] at +1199%.[StoCCI2 gif]
I do not believe that there were serious criteria on June 2001 to select the [7,13] or the [6,15].
CCI differentiation is almost invisible, if you change the period from 6 to 7.
You surely need a magnifier to separate BuyLevel=13 from BuyLevel=15 .
If we forget these details, a +1199% may sounds great.
It is up to you to decide if you prefer attractive calculations or positive trading techniques.
Anyway, if you are interested in this invividualistic trading style andif you prefer Stochastic oscillators, try
Stochastic CCI among the others. It is not popular but it is a bit smarter.
Dimitris Tsokakis


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<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV 
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
<A href="mailto:kernish@xxxx"; title=kernish@xxxx>Steve 
Karnish</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
href="mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, July 25, 2002 7:34 
AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [amibroker] Optimal 
solutions of the past and future profits</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><FONT size=2>"I will not speak again for 
Stochastic RSI"</FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Thank God.&nbsp; For those that are 
interested:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Me and the boyz (and grrls) covered our short 
positions (QQQ) on the opening yesterday.&nbsp; In the worst market in recent 
memory, the system has now profited on ten out of the last eleven 
trades.&nbsp; The single loser was -.75, with the winners summing 27.16.&nbsp; 
Profits since 11/1/01 have exceeded the underlying price of the issue.&nbsp; 
The approach is traded by many, with real money.&nbsp; Nothing has been 
changed or tweaked for years.&nbsp; Over the years, many forum members have 
received this formula by "politlely" asking for it (see formula section of 
website).&nbsp; It continues to produce "out-of-sample" (and more importantly, 
in real accounts).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Again, the StoRSI is a tool to unlock profits in 
the QQQ.&nbsp; Used with a simple 21 period SMA, it continues "ring the 
register".&nbsp; It's hard to believe that anyone would "lobby" against an 
approach that continues to produce profits.&nbsp; If anyone decides to risk 
capital on this issue (or others), one must decide on an approach and then 
actually implement it.&nbsp; I do not have a new approach every week for this 
market.&nbsp; This is the one and only approach I have ever posted for this 
trading vehicle.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I am convinced that there are hundreds and maybe 
thousands of systems that will trade the Q's better.&nbsp; This is just one, 
simple approach that has been "public" and that has not changed for 
years.&nbsp; I have nothing to hide and nothing to sell.&nbsp; Please take the 
information and improve on it.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Take care,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steve Karnish, CTA<BR>Cedar Creek Trading<BR><A 
href="http://www.cedarcreektrading.com";>www.cedarcreektrading.com</A><BR>1-877-668-1125</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV 
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
<A href="mailto:TSOKAKIS@xxxx"; title=TSOKAKIS@xxxx>Dimitris 
Tsokakis</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
href="mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, July 25, 2002 5:34 
AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [amibroker] Optimal solutions 
of the past and future profits</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Last June 5, 2001, I posted to this list the TusharChande 
Stochastic RSI and my Stochastic CCI.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2><A 
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/2394";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/2394</A></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I will not speak again for Stochastic RSI, we have seen a 
lot of details for this popular indicator, which</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>presents now an optimal solution [8-13-87] for QQQ, 
running at a +250% for the last 30 months.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Besides the difficult question of the selection of this 
[8-13-87] combination [although&nbsp;I read ...carefully</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>the messages,&nbsp;I&nbsp;have not seen any kind of 
explanation, serious or humorous, by the user of this 
combination]</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I wrote that this +250% is not one of the best QQQ 
performances.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>We have seen a lot of QQQ systems running between +500% 
and +600% or better.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I&nbsp;understand that it is not fair to compare different 
design approaches. It is very difficult for Stochastic RSI to</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>be competitive to D-ratio or RSIt or MeanRSI 
TTM.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>So, let us compare the quite similar Stochastic RSIand 
Stochastic CCI.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Beginning from March 2000 till&nbsp;June 2001, there were 
two almost equal solutions for the respective</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>StochCCI system, [I follow symmetric triggering just for 
the comparison under equal terms, my personal opinion </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>for symmetric triggering is analytically expressed in 
other postings]running at +303% and +302%, with </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>equal # of 10 trades/9 winners/1 loser, as you may see 
in</FONT><FONT size=2> the StochCCI 1 gif</FONT>&nbsp;<FONT 
size=2>.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>You could select one of them or both of them.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Now, one year later, we may see the [7,13] at +405%and 
the [6,15] at +1199%.[StoCCI2 gif]</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>I do not believe that there were serious criteria on June 
2001 to&nbsp;select the [7,13] or the [6,15].</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>CCI differentiation is almost invisible, if you change the 
period from 6 to 7.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>You surely need a magnifier to separate BuyLevel=13 from 
BuyLevel=15&nbsp;.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>If we forget these details, a +1199% may sounds 
great.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>It is up to you to decide if you prefer attractive 
calculations or positive trading techniques.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Anyway, if you are interested in this invividualistic 
trading style and if you prefer Stochastic oscillators, try</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Stochastic CCI among the others. It is not popular but it 
is a bit smarter.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Dimitris Tsokakis</FONT></DIV><BR><BR><TT>Your use of 
Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A 
href="http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/";>Yahoo! Terms of Service</A>.</TT> 
<BR></BLOCKQUOTE><BR><BR><TT>Your 
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href="http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/";>Yahoo! Terms of Service</A>.</TT> 
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