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Re: [amibroker] Preparing the StoRsi for QQQ Formula For Trading as a System



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Please remember, as pointed out to DT, that this StoRSI is a tool to trade the QQQ's. So many people are attracted to this vehicle (QQQ) that I thought it would be appropriate to share my research. I am not suggesting that anyone use the StoRSI on equity issues. I am suggesting that people look at the CMO5 (with the SMA filter). As an example, I've attached ABDE.  

This stock swung from 27 to 85 during 2000...with volatile swings during that period. From November to mid March ('01) it gave it all back in a stunning downdraft. During the last 16 months it has chopped sideways. I thinkthis represents the possiblities fairly well. What I end up with is a stock that has traded the CMO5 with a "53/-53" trigger (and a 21 day SMA qualifier/filter). This scenario returns a win/loss of 21-5 and 114 points of profit (no commiss, slippage, etc.).

The important things are: I do endorse the CMO5 optimized at symmetrical triggers. I believe one should "filter" trades to "go with the flow" (13 period sma...21 period, you pick 'em).  

Take care,

Steve Karnish, CTA
Cedar Creek Trading
www.cedarcreektrading.com
1-877-668-1125
----- Original Message ----- 
From: dingo 
To: amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
Sent: Tuesday, July 23, 2002 10:18 AM
Subject: [amibroker] Preparing the StoRsi for QQQ Formula For Trading as a System


Thanks to Steve Karnish we've had a lot of discussion about developing a formula (see below) that might be appropriate for actual use. I say "might"because (no slight to Steve here) I'm not certain that I know how to determine that this formula would make a good basis for a system. That's where I think we should aim our next discussion.. 
   
So, let me ask the people who've actually used formula in systems and traded with them:
   
Is the formula below a good basis for a system? Please explain why and how you came to your conclusions!  
   
What would YOU do to improve it or is it just not ready for prime time?
   
I really think that this would help a lot of us that are new to the "game" understand more about the development process and prevent some of us fromjust jumping off the deep end and potentially loosing a lot of money.
   
BTW - I've been thinking about taking some of the discussion about Steve's formula and putting it into a document as and example of how one might goabout doing this. Sort of an extended tutorial. Any comments on that?
   
Thanks in advance for all of your help!
   
dingo
   
Here's the formula:
   
/*StochRSI on the QQQ's with MA

Courtesy: Steve Karnish

Optimized for 3/24/2000 - 7/22/2002 

Settings: Buy/Sell/Short/Cover = Next Day Open

Long and Short

Commissions = 0

Stops and Targets = disabled

*/

StochRsi=EMA((RSI(8)-LLV(RSI(8),8))/(HHV(RSI(8),8)-LLV(RSI(8),8)),3)*100; 

tmpMA = 21; 


Buy=Cross(17,StochRsi)AND Ref(MA(C,tmpMA),-1) < MA(C,tmpMA);

Sell=Cross(StochRsi,83);

Short=Cross(StochRsi,83) AND Ref(MA(C,tmpMA),-1) > MA(C,tmpMA); 

Cover=Cross(17,StochRsi);

   

   


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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Whoa Dingo,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Please remember, as pointed out to DT, that this 
StoRSI is a tool to trade the QQQ's.&nbsp; So many people are attracted to this 
vehicle (QQQ) that I thought it would be appropriate to share my research.&nbsp; 
I am not suggesting that anyone use the StoRSI on equity issues.&nbsp; I am 
suggesting that people look at the CMO5 (with the SMA filter).&nbsp; As an 
example, I've attached ABDE.&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>This stock swung from 27 to 85 during 2000...with 
volatile swings during that period.&nbsp; From November to mid March ('01) it 
gave it all back in a stunning downdraft.&nbsp; During the last 16 months it has 
chopped sideways.&nbsp; I think this represents the possiblities fairly 
well.&nbsp; What I end up with is a stock that has traded the CMO5 with a 
"53/-53" trigger (and a 21 day SMA qualifier/filter).&nbsp; This scenario 
returns a win/loss of 21-5 and 114 points of profit (no commiss, slippage, 
etc.).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The important things are:&nbsp; I do endorse the 
CMO5 optimized at symmetrical triggers.&nbsp; I believe one should "filter" 
trades to "go with the flow" (13 period sma...21 period, you pick 'em).&nbsp; 
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Take care,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Steve Karnish, CTA<BR>Cedar Creek Trading<BR><A 
href="http://www.cedarcreektrading.com";>www.cedarcreektrading.com</A><BR>1-877-668-1125</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV 
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
dingo </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
href="mailto:amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, July 23, 2002 10:18 
AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [amibroker] Preparing theStoRsi 
for QQQ Formula For Trading as a System</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>Thanks to Steve 
Karnish we've had a lot of discussion about developing a formula (see below) 
that might be appropriate for actual use. I say "might" because (no slight to 
Steve here) I'm not certain that I know how to determine that this formula 
would make a good basis for a system.&nbsp; That's where I think we should aim 
our next discussion.. </SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>So, letme ask the 
people who've actually used formula in systems and traded with 
them:</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>Is the formula 
below a good basis for a system? Please explain why and how you came to your 
conclusions!&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>What would YOU do 
to improve it or is it just not ready for prime time?</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>I really think 
that this would help a lot of us that are new to the "game" understand more 
about the development process and prevent some of us from just jumping off the 
deep end and potentially loosing a lot of money.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>BTW - I've been 
thinking about taking some of the discussion about Steve's formula and putting 
it into a document as and example of how one might go about doing this. Sort 
of an extended tutorial. Any comments on that?</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>Thanks in advance 
for all of your help!</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002>dingo</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002>Here's the 
formula:</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN 
class=254340716-23072002></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=254340716-23072002><FONT 
color=#008000 size=1>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>/*StochRSI on the QQQ's with MA</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>Courtesy: Steve Karnish</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>Optimized for 3/24/2000 - 7/22/2002 
</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>Settings: Buy/Sell/Short/Cover =Next Day 
Open</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>Long and Short</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>Commissions = 0</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>Stops and Targets = disabled</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New" size=2>*/</FONT></P></FONT>
<P><FONT face="Courier New">StochRsi=</FONT><FONT face="Courier New"><FONT 
color=#0000ff>EMA</FONT>((<FONT color=#0000ff>RSI</FONT>(<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>)-<FONT color=#0000ff>LLV</FONT>(<FONT 
color=#0000ff>RSI</FONT>(<FONT color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>),<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>))/(<FONT color=#0000ff>HHV</FONT>(<FONT 
color=#0000ff>RSI</FONT>(<FONT color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>),<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>)-<FONT color=#0000ff>LLV</FONT>(<FONT 
color=#0000ff>RSI</FONT>(<FONT color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>),<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>8</FONT>)),<FONT color=#ff00ff>3</FONT>)*<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>100</FONT></FONT><FONT face="Courier New">; </FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New">tmpMA = </FONT><FONT face="Courier New"><FONT 
color=#ff00ff>21</FONT>; </FONT>
<P><FONT face="Courier New"></FONT></P><B><FONT 
face="Courier New">Buy</FONT></B><FONT face="Courier New">=</FONT><FONT 
face="Courier New"><FONT color=#0000ff>Cross</FONT>(<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>17</FONT>,StochRsi)<B>AND</B> <FONT 
color=#0000ff>Ref</FONT>(<FONT color=#0000ff>MA</FONT>(<B>C</B>,tmpMA),-<FONT 
color=#ff00ff>1</FONT>) &lt; <FONT color=#0000ff>MA</FONT></FONT><FONT 
face="Courier New">(<B>C</B>,tmpMA);</FONT>
<P></P><B>
<P><FONT face="Courier New">Sell</FONT></B><FONT 
face="Courier New">=</FONT><FONT face="Courier New"><FONT 
color=#0000ff>Cross</FONT>(StochRsi,<FONT color=#ff00ff>83</FONT></FONT><FONT 
face="Courier New">);</FONT></P><B>
<P><FONT face="Courier New">Short</FONT></B><FONT 
face="Courier New">=</FONT><FONT face="Courier New"><FONT 
color=#0000ff>Cross</FONT>(StochRsi,<FONT color=#ff00ff>83</FONT>) <B>AND</B> 
<FONT color=#0000ff>Ref</FONT>(<FONT 
color=#0000ff>MA</FONT>(<B>C</B>,tmpMA),-<FONT color=#ff00ff>1</FONT>) &gt; 
<FONT color=#0000ff>MA</FONT></FONT><FONT face="Courier New">(<B>C</B>,tmpMA); 
</FONT></P><B>
<P><FONT face="Courier New">Cover</FONT></B><FONT 
face="Courier New">=</FONT><FONT face="Courier New"><FONT 
color=#0000ff>Cross</FONT>(<FONT color=#ff00ff>17</FONT>,StochRsi);</FONT></P>
<P><FONT face="Courier New"></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P><FONT size=1><FONT size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</P></FONT></SPAN></FONT></DIV><BR><BR><TT>Your 
use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A 
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