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Greg,
The buy/short delay is set to 0 because the delay is already hard coded in
AFL (buy=ref(buycond,-1). If you set the delay to 1, you will buy one daylater
than you should (i.e., you'll get a 2-day delay). You know, after
having thought about it, you really don't need the rembuy.dll. You could code
the exit as you have done it simply as a sell command. I've not done this
before, but I'd think you'd get the same answer as using the sell as a
trailing stop. I'll have to check that out.
Do you actually own the turtle manual? If so, I'd like to talk to you
privately about it.
AV
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=greg.bean@xxxx
href="">greg
To: <A title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxx
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 8:47 PM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Turtle Trading
System was QQQ Individual Analysis thread
Al,
I've got to get Stephan's most recent version of
rembuy.dll , the older version is giving me some errors. I'll try a few things
and then get back to you. I read from the turtles site that AMZN would bea
good candidate stock, maybe we can compare our codes using AMZN from
03/01/1998 to 21/06/2002.
Why set Buy/Short delay to 0 ??
Greg
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
Avcinci
To: <A title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 9:13
PM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Turtle Trading
System was QQQ Individual Analysis thread
Greg,
See attached afl file. It does not contain the code for the last
theoretical trade. And I haven't debugged it, so there might be errors.You
might want to try optimizing the buy and sell days. You need to use
Stephane's rembuy.dll plugin at the Amibroker files section of Yahoo. Your
buy/short delay should be set to 0, and your sell/cover delay should beset
to 1. Your initial equity should be set to 100,000. If you test this ona
watchlist of lots of stocks, it won't do well. I'm still trying to finda
way to filter the universe of stocks down to a reasonable number. Let me
know how it works out for you. Maybe you can suggest a way of filtering.
AV
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=greg.bean@xxxx
href="">greg
To: <A
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 7:42
PM
Subject: [amibroker] Turtle Trading
System was QQQ Individual Analysis thread
Hi,
I've tried to construct The Turtle System you
talk about here. Could you check my afl and tell me if I've gotit
right. I'm not getting very good results and I am unable to get rid of
multiple arrows. Here's what I have coded so far;
// Turtle Trading //<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>
/*Yes, the time-proven Turtle breakout system. They go long when the
Highest High of the last 55 days is exceeded (breakout) OR go Short when
the Lowest Low of the last 55 days is exceeded. They exit the long
position when the Lowest Low of the last 20 days is exceeded OR the Short
position when the Highest High for the last 20 days is exceeded. That's
it. No indicators, no moving averages, no stochastics, no oscillators,
only the High AND Low. I don't know of any simpler system than that
(although, there are other nuances, like NOT taking the Signal if thelast
theoretical trade was A winner). The thing about that system is that it
makes logical sense. It's easy to understand AND picture in the mind.The
idea is that if A security (stock OR commodity) breaks out of A trading
range, there is likely to be A continuing momentum that will carry itinto
A long term trend. There are lots of False signals, but when it is NOT
False, the profits are really big. Lots of people who follow the Turtle
system have made lots of money with it over the years.*/<FONT
face="Courier New" color=#000000 size=1>
EnterLongs=H>=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>HHV<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(H,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>55);
exitLongs=L>=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>LLV<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(L,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>20);
EnterShorts=L<=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>LLV<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(L,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>20);
ExitShorts=H<=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>HHV<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(H,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>20);
Buy=EnterLongs;
Sell=exitLongs;
Short=EnterShorts;
Cover=ExitShorts;
Buy=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>ExRem<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(Buy,Sell);
Sell=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>ExRem<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(Sell,Buy);
Short=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>ExRem<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(Short,Cover);
Cover=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>ExRem<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(Cover,Short);
Filter=<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>1<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>;
AddColumn<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(H,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>"High"<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>1.2<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>);
AddColumn<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(<FONT face="Courier New" color=#0000ff
size=1>HHV<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>(H,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>55<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>),<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>"HHV(H,55)"<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>,<FONT face="Courier New" color=#ff00ff
size=1>1.2<FONT face="Courier New" color=#000000
size=1>);
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=avcinci@xxxx
href="">Avcinci
To: <A
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 7:06
PM
Subject: Re: [amibroker] Re:QQQ
Individual Analysis
Dimitris,
>>When i give EXACTLY individual
analysis, you ask "why use it ONLY on the QQQ? ". It is strange, isnt
it?>>
In your very first post on this subject, it appeared, at leastto
me, you were suggesting it for the QQQ. You made no mention of it being
used for anything else. So, naturally, I had the impression you had
developed this system for QQQ only.
>>[have you seen anything more
simple than this ?]>>
Yes, the time-proven Turtle breakout system. They go long whenthe
highest high of the last 55 days is exceeded (breakout) or go shortwhen
the lowest low of the last 55 days is exceeded. They exit the long
position when the lowest low of the last 20 days is exceeded or the
short position when the highest high for the last 20 days is exceeded.
That's it. No indicators, no moving averages, no stochastics, no
oscillators, only the high and low. I don't know of any simpler system
than that (although, there are other nuances, like not taking the signal
if the last theoretical trade was a winner). The thing about that system
is that it makes logical sense. It's easy to understand and picture
in the mind. The idea is that if a security (stock or commodity) breaks
out of a trading range, there is likely to be a continuing momentumthat
will carry it into a long term trend. There are lots of false signals,
but when it is not false, the profits are really big. Lots of people who
follow the Turtle system have made lots of money with it over the years.
When I read your code with no explanatory notes, I was puzzledas
to the meaning of the lines, and frankly I still am. The coefficiet
0.001 is likely good only for the QQQ. True? I suppose it has to be
different if a $200 stock is being used, right? What's the fundamental
basis of the 0.001? The H+L? The other parameter coefficients? If the
H/L spread shrinks at the peak in price, then adding the high to the low
value and multiplying it by a bigger number compensates for when the H/L
spread increases at the trough, where you multiply the sum of the Hand
L by a lower number. You buy when the range is greater than the product
of H+L*0.001*43. It's all completely and totally empirical. Again, as I
said for the 0.001 coefficient, I suspect each stock would have to have
its own d1 and d2 parameter values, right? If that's true, it wouldbe
too complicated, at least for my feeble mind, to keep track of all those
different parameter values.
>>Do you understand the same
question for the indicators you use ? Do you "see" the meaning of
StochD()<30 for example?>>
This may come as a surprise to you, Dimitris, but I try to avoid
use of indicators as much as possible, and most especially if I don't
understand the indicator. I like ADX as a trigger for the beginningof a
trend. I can go into a long explanation as to why, but that would be
counterproductive on this board. I use simple trailing stops. I don't
use Stochastics, RSI, DEMA, TEMA, etc., etc. All I was saying was
when you suggest and post a trading system on the board, it would be
nice to have a short explanatory dialogue for its use or in supportof
its basis. That's all. You said Stoch()<30 is much more complicated
than a simple H/L relation. You are right. But, I didn't understand
the particular H/L relation you were proposing. Thanks for your
contribution.
AV
<BLOCKQUOTE
>
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
<A title=TSOKAKIS@xxxx
href="">dtsokakis
To: <A
title=amibroker@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">amibroker@xxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 4:06
PM
Subject: [amibroker] Re: QQQ
Individual Analysis
Well,I try to respond as fast as possible,as
you see.Different questions from different points of view.It
is not only QQQ, we have had the same discussion with Don today
for MSFT.QQQ was an example. Just an example.This
excellent forum is strange.When I give Trade the Market systems,
many people ask for individual analysis. When i give EXACTLY
individual analysis, you ask "why use it ONLY on the QQQ? ".It
is strange, isnt it?Many people ask for a "copy/paste" formula
without explanations.When I give a SIMPLE, PRE-INDICATOR formula
with H and L only,[have you seen anything more simple than this
?], nobody is satisfied, because they want to learn something
"behind" the formula.Please, do not make simple things to look as
complicated.When the stock is near the peak the H/L spred shrinks,
when it is near the trough the spread widens and thats all.It
is just an observation and it may be translated to some trading
rules. Is it more complicated than RSI mechanism ?I think
no.I would like to read what you do not understand, but, before
posting your [interesting] question just think : Do you understand
the same question for the indicators you use ?Do you "see" the
meaning of StochD()<30 for example ?I think it is much more
complicated than a simple H/L relation ?I would like to have your
opinion.DT--- In amibroker@xxxx, "Avcinci"
<avcinci@xxxx> wrote:> DT,> > Several
people have asked you to explain the rationale behind your latest
"system", but you have not responded. I think it would be very
helpful that, whenever someone submits a trading idea to the
group, he/she at least includes a short paragraph with some brief
explanation or support for the rationale behind the system or
idea. I look at the code and it baffles me what it is trying to
say. You buy when the today's range exceeds 0.1% of a fudge factor
multiplying the sum of the high and low, and you sell when today's
range is less than this product. What the heck does that mean?
And, why use it ONLY on the QQQ? Very baffling. > >
Al V.> ----- Original Message -----
> From: Nurudin Kaba > To:
amibroker@xxxx > Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 6:18
PM> Subject: RE: [amibroker] Re: QQQ Individual
Analysis> > > 14,43 happen to bethe
optimum numbers...though it does form an island using Herman's 3D
graphing via excel...> > Interesting...but
still don't understand the rational behind the system.
> > Thanks>
-----Original Message-----> From:
dtsokakis [mailto:TSOKAKIS@xxxx]> Sent:
Sunday, June 23, 2002 12:10 PM> To:
amibroker@xxxx> Subject: [amibroker]
Re: QQQ Individual Analysis> >
> As you see in settings, the final
result is for Long & short
trades.> If you select Long only,
or Short only, you get the respective
results> ///QQQ [14,43]=+177%
[LONG] > ///QQQ [14,43]=+359% [SHORT]
AND > ///QQQ [14,43]=+1175% [LONG &
SHORT] > for parameters values 14,
43> DT>
--- In amibroker@xxxx, "Nurudin Kaba" <n.kaba@xxxx>
wrote:> > DT, what is the premise
behind HL.afl.> >
> >
Thanks> > -----Original
Message-----> > From:
dtsokakis [mailto:TSOKAKIS@xxxx]>
> Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 11:16
AM> > To:
amibroker@xxxx> >
Subject: [amibroker] Re: QQQ Individual
Analysis> >
> > >
> Peter,>
> My data begin on
3/1/2000.> > See
analytic #> > <A
href="">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/amibroker/message/20095>
> DT> >
--- In amibroker@xxxx, "bluesinvestor" <investor@xxxx>
wrote:> > >
Dimitris,> > >
> > > Again great
performance and yet not the same trades or
> results ...
> > does
your> > > history go
back further than Jan 2000?>
> > >
> > Peter>
> > -----Original
Message-----> >
> From: Dimitris Tsokakis
[mailto:TSOKAKIS@xxxx]>
> > Sent: Sunday, June 23, 2002 11:59
AM> > >
To: amibroker@xxxx> >
> Subject: [amibroker] QQQ Individual
Analysis> > >
> > >
> > > If
you are fed up from my Composite Analysis, let us make a
> break
> > with
an> > > individual
one.> > >
Simple logic, simple profits, pre-indicator era.[High, Low
> and >
> thats all>
> > !!]>
> > Dimitris
Tsokakis> > >
> > >
> >
> Yahoo! Groups
Sponsor> >
>
ADVERTISEMENT> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of
> >
Service.> >
> > >
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo!
Terms of > Service.> >
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject
to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. > >
> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the
Yahoo! Terms of Service.Your use of
Yahoo! Groups is subject to the <A
href="">Yahoo! Terms of
Service. Your use of Yahoo!Groups
is subject to the Yahoo!
Terms of Service. Your use of Yahoo!
Groups is subject to the <A
href="">Yahoo! Terms of Service.
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