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Now, consider that the model HAS SUCCESSFULLY predicted the first two
out of the four dates? Does that make the improbable less improbable?
I know it does, but by how much. About that I don’t have a clue. But,
again, it is interesting.
SAY YOU FLIP A COIN 4 TIMES IN A ROW AND IT COMES UP
HEADS...........DOES THAT INCRECREASE THE PROBABILITY THAT ON THE NEXT
FLIP IT WILL NOT BE HEADS?.................OR DOES IT REMAIN THE SAME:
50/50 AS IN THE FIRST 4 CASES?????
GERRYB
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