| 
 Jim, 
  
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't see much 
difference between  back- and forward testing. 
E.g. if you test a daytrading system real-time for 
5 days and then you forget the results and using exactly the same criteria, 
backtest 
those 5 days, the results should be the 
same. 
  
Systems stop working because markets change and 
they have to be adjusted to new conditions. That's why backtesting often works 
for the future and sometimes it 
doesn't. 
One could use testing period long enough to include 
all kinds of markets, volatile, dead, etc. to get 
a high probability of positive 
system results over such period. 
For my purpose, I pefer to adjust the system from 
on market type to another as they come because that gives me much better 
results. 
  
Jan Philipp 
   
__._,_.___
     
    
 
      
   
__,_._,___
 |