Hello, Jim
I tried to play with long term cycles a
lot.
Look how it works. Here you can see two
major cycles pointed by Harry Dent red - 40 years demographic cycle and blue -
30 years commodity cycle together with Dow (log scale):
Now I perform the formal math analysis
for these two cycles adjusting them to Dow and got this:
As you see the result is
different.
Best regards.
Sergey.
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Sunday, November 09, 2008 7:50
AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Market status
The overall market is experiencing a bear market rally - I have BUY
permission on both weekly and daily for all index ETF's (DIA,SPY,QQQQ, IWM).
The daily Near Impulse shows most likely key dates of 11/21- 11/25. Other
dates to watch are 11/14 and 11/18.
On a longer term basis I have become a convert to the demographic-
econometrics of Harry S. Dent whom I have previously referenced. Mr. Dent
has just published a video on his web site outlining what he sees out
through 2010. In summary he sees a rally, as a result of all the money
stimulus, until about late 2009 - early 2010. Inflation will begin to
increase dramatically after the lag and bond prices will plummet. He
forecasts a long term deflationary depression starting 2010. The last chance
to protect assets will be during this coming rally. I urge everyone to
review his work at
Hsdent.comIn the mean time I am having a lot of fun trading the intraday FOREX
market. The combination of my new Trade Permission and Signal generator are
yielding about 80% reliability of profitable trades although the data
set is not large enough yet to draw major conclusions.
Best Regards,
Jim White
From: Ben
<profitok@xxxxxxxxxx net>
To: realtraders@ yahoogroups.
com
Sent: Saturday,
November 8, 2008 12:20:26 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] Market
status
Hello Jim
can you give an update?
i see bullish divergence at last week lows in
many indicatores
Ben
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Wednesday, November 05, 2008
10:22 AM
Subject: [RT] Market status
The week ending 10/10 has set the criteria to judge this current up
move. It was a huge range week marking the low of the crisis panic. For
the last four weeks we have been trading within this range and perhaps
this week we will close above the high of last week. Caution is in order
however. Until the market accepts prices higher than the high of the 10/10
week, we do not have a long term reversal and it is not safe to take long
term long positions.
Jim White
Pivot Research & Trading Co.
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