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Re: [RT] Re: What's next



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Bob/Caroline-

Uhh...excuse me but I think I missed something here:  are 
you two talking about
the STOCK MARKET, COMMODITIES, GOLD?  Caroline, if you are 
talking about gold
I am told that Market Vane is good for contrary opinion 
and sentiment; for
commodities.  I don't follow it, or know very much about 
it, but you can google
marketvane.com or something similiar.

I think the problem is how one defines the universe of 
opinion/sentiment and how it is
quantified:  by what they say, or what they do with their 
money; or maybe both?

This is probably a project in itself and I don't know much 
about the history
of such data, and the differences and nuances.

Chas
====



On Sat, 16 Aug 2008 23:14:09 -0400
  caroline@xxxxxxxxxxx wrote:
> Hi Bob,
> 
> Apologies for the newbie question, but how do you tell?
> 
> I did predict that all the confident longs would get 
>shaken out of  
> gold if they bought around $850 but it was becuase 
>everyone was saying  
> it newsletters, blogs, etc.
> 
> I would like to learn more about how to determine where 
>the overall  
> sentiment is in the markets as you describe below.  Any 
>info or links  
> to more information is greatly appreciated.
> 
> Thank you,
> Caroline
> 
>> 1a. What's next
>>     Posted by: "Robert Arbuckle" bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx 
>>bobskc1
>>     Date: Fri Aug 15, 2008 12:22 pm ((PDT))
>>
>> I realized today that I have not seen so many people on 
>>one side of the
>> market since I have been trading.  (37 years).  It seems 
>>that everyone and I
>> do mean *everyone* either thinks we are going down short 
>>term or long term
>> or both.  I can see the argument clearly but I also know 
>>how much money I've
>> made taking the contrarian side and when I see this much 
>>over-load to one
>> way of thinking, I'm not going to put much faith in it 
>>happening.
>>
>> Hope everyone had a great week.
>>
>> Bob
>>
> 
> 
> 
> 


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