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RE: [RT] Re: OIL



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My next target is 106, which is an extended target. If that does not contain the move, next target is 123 with very low probability.
 
Earl
 


From: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx] On Behalf Of Ira
Sent: Wednesday, February 20, 2008 3:01 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] Re: OIL

Ben:
 
If oil hits the entry price from this level the target as shown on the chart would be about $70 per barrel.  Right now price has hit the second price objective for the move up and it should act as resistance for a time.  The target price for this move higher is $116.  I feel that it isn't a question of whether price will get back down to $70 it is when will it hit $200.  It will unless we find another source of energy to reduce our consumption or we find a lot more oil to replace what we are consuming.  Also it had better be somewhere other than the Middle East or Russia.
 
----- Original Message -----
From: Ben
Sent: Wednesday, February 20, 2008 1:29 PM
Subject: [RT] Re: OIL

We are all forgetting china and India
in 1990 there were only    1 car in china per 1000 people
in 2000    there were   15 cars per   1000 people
in 2007    there were    21   cars  per  1000  people
there is a gm plant in china producing  Cadillac's
in 2000   they sold 25000
in 2007 the waiting list is 7 month long and
they produced  375000 cars
 
in 2000   their  electric  was 80-85%   coal production
in 2007   their electric   is  65-70%     rest is gas turbines  and oil fired  turbines
they sighed a contract in 2007 to build    35 nuclear reactor's
(to be completed in 2010)
contractor is a private French company
(it build all nuclear  facilities in France, since 1977 there was not even ONE  nuclear accident in France)
world economy  means higher demand, even if we get recession
oil under 70   is a dream  (at least until 2011)
Ben
 


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