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thanks
I hope he is right
Ben
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Saturday, July 23, 2005 6:30 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] us bonds
> Ben,
> 115-04 has been a target of Carl's from early in the week of July 3rd.
> The
> bottom at 115-11 on Monday July 19 and subsequent rally caused him to
> believe prices would not reach his target. As it turned out the "China
> news" caused the bonds to sell off to 114-29 late on July 21, 7 tics below
> his target.
>
> Here was his post after the pit close Thursday July 21.
>
> "The bonds dropped a bit below my original 115-04 target and the notes got
> within 1/2 a tick of the original 111-00 target.
>
> Some of you may wonder if I regret being early on the long side a couple
> of
> days ago and not waiting for these targets to be reached. I often tell
> people that it is far better to be a little early that a little late when
> trying to catch a big move like the one I think lies just ahead in the
> bond
> market. When you are late it is much harder to take a position, especially
> if the market doesn't reach your proposed entry level in the first place.
>
> In any case I expect the bonds to hold the bottom of the box at 115-04 and
> the notes to hold the 1/2 point of the box at 110-30. In a couple of weeks
> I
> think we will look back on today's action and see it as a successful test
> that underlines the market's underlying bullish potential."
> posted by Carl Futia at 2:31 PM
>
> From this low he is looking for bonds to rally ultimately to the 121 to
> 123
> range. "If " correct your conservative money should do quite well I would
> think :-)
>
> By the way he is no longer looking for 1250 by the end of the year, he
> raised that to 1350 (with an outside chance at 1417 as I recall). That
> would
> say until then to be a buyer of all dips once they have run their course?
> Regards,
> Don Ewers
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Ben" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Saturday, July 23, 2005 2:40 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] us bonds
>
>
> I hope it hold
> as I still have conservative money in bonds
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Saturday, July 23, 2005 1:27 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] us bonds
>
>
>> Ben,
>> Not under, but did get to the bottom of it :-)
>> Regards
>> Don Ewers
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: "Ben" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> Sent: Thursday, July 21, 2005 9:36 PM
>> Subject: Fw: [RT] us bonds
>>
>>
>> We are now under that mob
>> nice evening
>> Ben
>> ----- Original Message -----
>> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
>> Sent: Tuesday, July 19, 2005 10:37 PM
>> Subject: Re: [RT] us bonds
>>
>>
>>> Ben,
>>> Incidentally AGET software's MOB price target & time, (which is not
>> perfect)
>>> came in here, coupled with a perfect ABC swing target of 115-13, and
>>> AGET
>>> would also look for a low in here as well as a EW wave 4). Bottomline,
>>> one
>>> would say some decent confluence at the bond lows?
>>> Don Ewers
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Yahoo! Groups Links
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>>
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>>
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>
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