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[RT] Economic Note



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Everyone controls their own destiny. One can move to places with lower and
acceptable housing and costs of living.

One can get a house in any of the top 20 retirement areas in the US for
under $150,000 and gas is not $2.50 everywhere.

Plus if one needs to work, move to where the work is.

BTW, I still do not think the top is in...but we may be getting closer.

Sincerely,

John

> I agree
> Ben
>   ----- Original Message -----
>   From: mr.ira
>   To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>   Sent: Friday, March 05, 2004 11:42 AM
>   Subject: Re: [RT] sp500/nasdaq top
>
>
>   The government still claims that there is no inflation.  Gas prices
> are $2.50 per Gal. here.  Almost everything that is purchased is
> transported by truck.  That cost will also be on the rise.
>
>   Housing costs continue to rise. Just down the road in Palo Alto the
> average home cost is $985,000.  Health care costs and other insurance
> costs are skyrocketing as is the commodity index.  How much longer can
> the government ignore what is happening?
>
>   Low interest rates have not created new jobs here, but India and other
> foreign countries are having a boon.  We are shipping our jobs
> overseas where the service and manufacturing costs are far less.  I
> have to admit, so is the quality of service provided by the overseas
> support.
>
>   Just some thoughts.  Ira.
>     ----- Original Message -----
>     From: EarlA
>     To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>     Sent: Friday, March 05, 2004 7:42 AM
>     Subject: Re: [RT] sp500/nasdaq top
>
>
>     Fascinating market action ... SPX has rallied to 1162.99 (within my
> target range) while the price of the June 1150 puts I hold (and had
> orders for more) has also rallied. This suggests that the market is
> putting in a blow-off. Had to short emini since it looks like they
> won't fill my put order.
>
>     I assume that this rally is all about the perceived notion that the
> Fed won't raise rates so the market can party longer. Not a thought
> to the fact that continued employment problems will lead to reduced
> consumption and other (economic and political) fall-out from reduced
> consumer confidence. Foreign currencies are rallying hard which
> means even higher energy prices are in the cards.
>
>     Earl
>
>       ----- Original Message -----
>       From: EarlA
>       To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
>       Sent: Friday, March 05, 2004 6:11 AM
>       Subject: Re: [RT] sp500/nasdaq top
>
>
>       SPX is very close to long standing target range of 1060-1073 which
> includes: 50% retracement to ATH, 200% expansion of Oct02-Mar03
> swing, and Dec01-Mar02 triple top.
>
>       I closed out long emini position just ahead of Thursday's close
> leaving in place a SPX put established on Wednesday. I also have
> orders working to add to put position on any rally from monthly
> Employment Lie. During the past couple of weeks I've closed out
> all trading positions in stocks and now hold significant cash
> position. I still like energy stocks and hold core positions to
> which I will add during any correction in equities.
>
>       There should be good support in the 1015+- area which includes the
> 38% retracement to the Mar03 low and the Jun-Jul03 highs. If this
> area holds, then another run to higher highs (1250+-) could be in
> the cards. On a fundamental basis, the market is richly priced and
> risks are strongly to the downside should the public lose its
> taste for speculation.
>
>       Earl
>         ----- Original Message -----
>         From: profitok
>         To: astrofin@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx  Cc:
> Yacov Twena ; vincent ; U. Stuart-Auslander@xxxx Net (E-mail) ;
> Slawek (E-mail) ; Ronald McEwan ; Ron Miller (E-mail) ;
> panda2222@xxxxxxxxxxxxx ; ntt-list@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; Ned Markson
> (E-mail) ; Mike Burk ; Kate (E-mail) ; Jseaton357@xxxxxxx ;
> Gocycles@xxxxxxx ; Elizabeth (E-mail) ; doroty.h ; Dom Perrino ;
> Dan C (E-mail) ; Cyclesman (E-mail)  Sent: Thursday, March 04,
> 2004 9:43 PM
>         Subject: [RT] sp500/nasdaq top
>
>
>         Most likely  3/5/04  should be a top for a while
>
>         get out of longs and  if you have long term gains  consider
> writing calls
>
>         most likely next is  1050 on sp
>
>         if I am wrong, the max upside is only 10-15 sp points
>
>         best regards
>         Ben
>
>
>
>
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