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Chinese H shares is the best I've got and I stick with dividend payers only
so I get paid while waiting. Most are very extended now and I'm not adding
to positions here. Keep in mind that this is a long term proposition rather
than a speculation for quick results.
Earl
----- Original Message -----
From: "Glen Wallace" <gcwallace@xxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, July 02, 2003 6:18 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] plausible scenario....??
> Any suggestions on vehicles for trading the Renminbi/Yuan?
> I'm not crazy about Chinese stocks or Chinese government
> bonds (I think there are problems brewing there). Because
> of the peg to the U.S. dollar, the currency doesn't trade on
> the forex markets.
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "EarlA" <earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, July 02, 2003 3:44 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] plausible scenario....??
>
> > Question hits the nail on the head! I think Euro gets 10-20% with the
major
> > problem for the Euro being a weakening European economy. China will be
> > forced to float the Renmimbi (50%+- eventually) ... investing in
dividend
> > paying Chinese H shares is a major theme of mine. Asian currencies
generally
> > should appreciate against the dollar. So too should Australia and
Canada.
> > Don't have an opinion on Central and South America but they are habitual
> > trouble spots so I wouldn't bet money on them.
> >
> > The dollar will have a relatively orderly decline until the credit
bubble
> > begins unwinding in earnest. The European and Asian currencies will be a
> > (relative) safe haven.
> >
> > Earl
> >
> >
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Kent Rollins" <kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, July 02, 2003 1:41 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] plausible scenario....??
> >
> > > In order for the dollar index to fall, other currencies have to rise.
> > > Which other currencies do you think will rise and by how much?
> > >
> > > Kent
> > >
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "EarlA" <earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, July 02, 2003 2:35 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] plausible scenario....??
> > >
> > > I think that's an optimistic assumption but it's on the way.
> > >
> > > Earl
> > >
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, July 02, 2003 11:20 AM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] plausible scenario....??
> > >
> > > MS,
> > >
> > > I think that long term, the US Dollar Index is headed to at least 88
and
> > > possibly 78.
> > >
> > > Regards,
> > >
> > > Norman
>
>
>
>
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>
>
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