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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
>From:
Mark Simms
To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="">RealtradersList
Sent: Tuesday, July 01, 2003 10:47
PM
Subject: [RT] plausible
scenario....??
As I watch this "wack-a-mole"
stock market that goes down only shortly on bad news, only to "pop right up"
again to frustrate the shorts....
I wonder if this scenario is
plausible over the next 18 months:
1) continued government
deficits and demand for funding cause interest rates to begin
rising...
cueing a fall in the bond
market; the long running boom in the real estate market
ends.
2) foreign capital begins to
withdraw from all US financial markets as the US dollar tumbles against major
currencies
NW: To which tumble on the
dollar are you referring? The US Dollar Index rallied
from 92.50 low on June 13 to
about 95.75 high on June 27 and pullback to today's closing low at
94.64.
Regards,
Norman
3) US stock markets decline
due to low-or-no earnings growth and valuation concerns.
Has this ever happened in US
financial history before: all 3 markets decline simultaneously
?
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