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Re: [RT] More later but for now a warning



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The CMA means  Centered Moving Average.  
Just a simple moving average
BUT (and the reason these examples are 
non-realtime) the calculated average
value is posted at the CENTER OF THE AVERAGE 
SPAN.
 
In other words, a 15 bar moving average calculated 
on the data up to the last
bar on the chart is posted 8 bars back from the 
last bar.
 
The channels are set at some % of the CMA 
value.  Note that there is a different
value for the upper and lower 
channels.
 
Clyde
 
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -Clyde 
Lee   
Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
SwingMachine)SYTECH 
Corporation          email: <A 
href="">clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx  7910 
Westglen, Suite 105       
Office:    (713) 783-9540Houston,  TX  
77063               
Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
at:                      
www.theswingmachine.com- - - - 
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - - -
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  Ray 
  Raffurty 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Thursday, March 20, 2003 6:27 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for now 
  a warning
  
  Hi Clyde,
   
  If this is not proprietarily could you please 
  explain how you calculated the CMA?  Is it simply the average of the high 
  and the low, or is something else involved?  Also what values do you use 
  for the channels above and below the CMA?
   
  Thanks in advance.
   
  Ray Raffurty
   
   
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    Clyde 
    Lee(SBCY) 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Saturday, March 22, 2003 11:13 
    AM
    Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for 
    now a warning
    And if Hurst's concept is right then the prices should 
    run welloutside of a "normal" envelope about the centered 
    movingaverage in such a condition.The attached is the results of 
    running a MODEL (it is not possibleto do this in real time since the 
    value used for creating the channelsis a centered moving average) of a 
    trading scheme where a "LowRisk" zone is considered to be entered when 
    prices move outsideof a given channel.  Trading, in this model, 
    occurs when pricesmove back inside the channel.This example 
    should give you an idea why we are so interested infinding methods that 
    can approximate the Centered Moving Averagevalues in real time.  
    This whole thing is nothing more than tryingto automate the concept of 
    buy low and sell high without havingthe damaging continue to buy lower 
    and sell higher reality bitingus in the 
    pocketbook.Clyde- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    - - -  - - - - - - -Clyde Lee   
    Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
    SwingMachine)SYTECH 
    Corporation          email: 
    clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx7910 Westglen, Suite 
    105       Office:    (713) 
    783-9540Houston,  TX  
    77063               
    Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
    at:                      
    www.theswingmachine.com- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - 
    - - - - - ------ Original Message -----From: "EarlA" 
    <earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx>To: 
    <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Saturday, March 22, 2003 8:14 
    AMSubject: Re: [RT] More later but for now a warning> The 
    best short entry may very well be selling into a surrender 
    drivenspike> rally.>> Earl>> ----- 
    Original Message -----> From: "Kent Rollins" 
    <kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> To: 
    <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> Sent: Friday, March 21, 2003 
    5:32 PM> Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for now a 
    warning>>> > Yup.  No way I'd go short until 
    the war is over.> >> > Kent> >> 
    >> > ----- Original Message -----> > From: "EarlA" 
    <earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx>> > To: 
    <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> > Sent: Friday, March 21, 
    2003 5:40 PM> > Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for now a 
    warning> >> >> > Not a low risk sell with 
    markets closed until Sunday afternoon and> > possibility of a 
    surrender rally which could run north of 950. Butshould> 
    be> > low risk selling opportunities next week.> 
    >> > Earl> >> > ----- Original Message 
    -----> > From: "Clyde Lee(SBCY)" 
    <clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>> > To: "swingmachine-list" 
    <swingmachine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> > Sent: Friday, March 21, 
    2003 2:19 PM> > Subject: [RT] More later but for now a 
    warning> >> >> > > The attached shows that 
    prices (computing up to the close) have> > > definitely entered 
    a low risk sell zone.> > >> > > The way CMA's are, 
    the upward trend could continue and "drag"> > > the CMA values 
    along with it.> > >> > > BUT, I'd be very careful 
    right here.> > >> > > Clyde> > 
    >> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - 
    - - - -> > > Clyde Lee   
    Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
    SwingMachine)> > > SYTECH 
    Corporation          email: 
    clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx> > > 7910 Westglen, Suite 
    105       Office:    (713) 
    783-9540> > > Houston,  TX  
    77063               
    Fax:    (713) 783-1092> > > Details 
    at:                      
    www.theswingmachine.com> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    - - -  - - - - - - - -> > >> > >> > 
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