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Re: [RT] More later but for now a warning



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Hi Clyde,
 
If this is not proprietarily could you please 
explain how you calculated the CMA?  Is it simply the average of the high 
and the low, or is something else involved?  Also what values do you use 
for the channels above and below the CMA?
 
Thanks in advance.
 
Ray Raffurty
 
 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  Clyde 
  Lee(SBCY) 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Saturday, March 22, 2003 11:13 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for now 
  a warning
  And if Hurst's concept is right then the prices should run 
  welloutside of a "normal" envelope about the centered movingaverage in 
  such a condition.The attached is the results of running a MODEL (it is 
  not possibleto do this in real time since the value used for creating the 
  channelsis a centered moving average) of a trading scheme where a 
  "LowRisk" zone is considered to be entered when prices move outsideof 
  a given channel.  Trading, in this model, occurs when pricesmove back 
  inside the channel.This example should give you an idea why we are so 
  interested infinding methods that can approximate the Centered Moving 
  Averagevalues in real time.  This whole thing is nothing more than 
  tryingto automate the concept of buy low and sell high without 
  havingthe damaging continue to buy lower and sell higher reality 
  bitingus in the pocketbook.Clyde- - - - - - - - - 
  - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -Clyde Lee   
  Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
  SwingMachine)SYTECH 
  Corporation          email: 
  clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx7910 Westglen, Suite 
  105       Office:    (713) 
  783-9540Houston,  TX  
  77063               
  Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
  at:                      
  www.theswingmachine.com- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - 
  - - - - ------ Original Message -----From: "EarlA" 
  <earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx>To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: 
  Saturday, March 22, 2003 8:14 AMSubject: Re: [RT] More later but for now a 
  warning> The best short entry may very well be selling into a 
  surrender drivenspike> rally.>> Earl>> 
  ----- Original Message -----> From: "Kent Rollins" 
  <kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> Sent: Friday, March 21, 2003 5:32 
  PM> Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for now a 
  warning>>> > Yup.  No way I'd go short until the 
  war is over.> >> > Kent> >> >> 
  > ----- Original Message -----> > From: "EarlA" 
  <earl.a@xxxxxxxxxx>> > To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> > Sent: Friday, March 21, 2003 
  5:40 PM> > Subject: Re: [RT] More later but for now a 
  warning> >> >> > Not a low risk sell with 
  markets closed until Sunday afternoon and> > possibility of a 
  surrender rally which could run north of 950. Butshould> be> 
  > low risk selling opportunities next week.> >> > 
  Earl> >> > ----- Original Message -----> > From: 
  "Clyde Lee(SBCY)" <clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>> > To: 
  "swingmachine-list" <swingmachine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>> > Sent: 
  Friday, March 21, 2003 2:19 PM> > Subject: [RT] More later but for 
  now a warning> >> >> > > The attached shows 
  that prices (computing up to the close) have> > > definitely 
  entered a low risk sell zone.> > >> > > The way 
  CMA's are, the upward trend could continue and "drag"> > > the 
  CMA values along with it.> > >> > > BUT, I'd be very 
  careful right here.> > >> > > Clyde> > 
  >> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - 
  - - -> > > Clyde Lee   
  Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
  SwingMachine)> > > SYTECH 
  Corporation          email: 
  clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx> > > 7910 Westglen, Suite 
  105       Office:    (713) 
  783-9540> > > Houston,  TX  
  77063               
  Fax:    (713) 783-1092> > > Details 
  at:                      
  www.theswingmachine.com> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
  - -  - - - - - - - -> > >> > >> > 
  > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:> > > 
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