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Re: [RT] VIX



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Hi Clyde,
 
I'm not sure that this idea is ready for 
that.  I was thinking more along the lines of something simpler to 
begin with and explore the VIX's value as an indicator for the QQQ's.  For 
example buying the QQQ's when VIX > 40 and shorting the 
QQQ's when VIX < 28 (or what ever values back testing may show to 
have value).
 
Since I don't have Trade Station, I don't know how 
easy or difficult it is to create a buy/sell signal in one index 
(QQQ's) based on the value of another index (VIX).  If that is 
possible the next step would be to explore exit strategies.  Since the VIX 
can be neutral for long periods, a stop and reverse strategy would not 
(consistently) work.  Also, since the VIX can stay above or below a given 
level for days (or weeks), trailing stops might take out a position just before 
it moves in the anticipated direction.
 
Any thoughts or comments are welcome.
 
Good luck and good trading,
 
Ray Raffurty
 
 
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  Clyde 
  Lee(SBCY) 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Saturday, March 15, 2003 11:34 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] VIX
  
  Here are some pictures going back to 
  9/2000.
   
  Without doing some linear trend adjusting it is 
  tough to get these
  things so they will scale to a point for 
  comparison.
   
  I believe that if anything the QQQ is leading or 
  concurrent with
  the VIX which is EXACTLY what I would 
  expect.
   
  Clyde
   
   
  - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -Clyde 
  Lee   
  Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
  SwingMachine)SYTECH 
  Corporation          email: <A 
  href="">clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx  7910 
  Westglen, Suite 105       
  Office:    (713) 783-9540Houston,  TX  
  77063               
  Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
  at:                      
  www.theswingmachine.com- - - 
  - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - - -
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    Ray 
    Raffurty 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Saturday, March 15, 2003 12:05 
    PM
    Subject: Re: [RT] VIX
    
    Hi All RT's,
     
    I was struck by the high correlation between 
    the VIX and the QQQ's.  I wasn't looking for it and only posted the 
    QQQ's as an after thought.  During the last 6 months (shown) the VIX 
    has been a LEADING indicator of the QQQ's..  This may be because of the 
    popularity of the QQQ's with "amateur" traders who may be subject to greater 
    pressures from fear and greed.
     
    Unfortunately I do not have software or enough 
    data to back test his hypothesis and was hoping someone with the time and 
    wherewithal would do it, to confirm or refute.
     
    Thanks in advance,
     
    Ray Raffurty
     
     
     
     
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    >
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      <DIV 
      >From: 
      Ray 
      Raffurty 
      To: <A 
      title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      
      Sent: Tuesday, March 11, 2003 1:46 
      AM
      Subject: Re: [RT] VIX
      
      You can get charts of VIX in various time 
      frames for free at <A 
      href="">http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com
       
      The first chart is the VIX alone to create is 
      go to the web site above, enter the symbol VIX and click "Interactive 
      Charts".  You man need to turn off some default settings to get a 
      clean chart.
       
      The second chart is SPX compared to 
      VIX.  Go to the web site above, enter the symbol SPX and click 
      "Interactive Charts".  Turn off any defaults and enter "Compare To" 
      "Symbol" VIX .
       
      
      The third chart is NDX compared to 
      VIX.  Go to the web site above, enter the symbol NDX and click 
      "Interactive Charts".  Turn off any defaults and enter "Compare To" 
      "Symbol" VIX.
       
      
      The last, and perhaps most 
      interesting, chart is QQQ compared to VIX.  Go to the web 
      site above, enter the symbol QQQ and click "Interactive 
      Charts".  Turn off any defaults and enter "Compare To" "Symbol" VIX 
      .
       
      As you may know VIX is a contraireian indicator and is mostly neutral 
      right now.
       
      Hope this helps.
       
      Good luck and good trading,
       
      Ray Raffurty
      <BLOCKQUOTE 
      >
        ----- Original Message ----- 
        <DIV 
        >From: 
        <A title=groups@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">MOJO 
        To: <A 
        title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
        
        Sent: Friday, March 14, 2003 3:01 
        PM
        Subject: [RT] VIX
        
        Hi,
         
        Anyone what the VIX is saying right now on 
        S&P, Nasdaq ?
        Are we at a top or bottom ?
        Also while we on the subject what data and 
        software can you use to work it out ?
        Are there any sites that regularly show 
        updates and charts on the VIX index ?
         
        ThanksTo 
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