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but John, as a PUT Seller, you've got to be a little "fearful" in here,
short-term at least, no ?
Granted, we are getting towards those VIX levels of 50 which is a great
place to sell puts....
but only if the resistance holds there.
> -----Original Message-----
> From: John Cappello [mailto:jvc689@xxxxxxx]
> Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 2:31 PM
> To: Stan Book; Realtraders
> Subject: [RT] DJIA - the next 4 years (NAZ)
>
>
> Dear Stan,
>
> I was delighted to see your post...I fully believe a new Bull is in
> place and will have many corrections...not the least of which will be
> geopolitical movements.
>
> Sincerely,
>
> Joh
>
>
>
> ------------------ Reply Separator --------------------
> Originally From: "Stan Book" <sbook@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> Subject: Re: [RT] DJIA - the next 4 years (NAZ)
> Date: 01/28/2003 08:10am
>
>
> Absolutely, Richard. I used DJIA only because we have data going back
> more
> than a century.
>
> Have you noticed that the dead cat NASDAQ has bounced up out of its
> death
> spiral (channel). The bounce exceeded AUG '02 top. I wouldn't bet the
> farm
> on OCT lows being violated.
>
> My little berry patch is committed to the proposition that the Oct
> lows mark
> the end of the final 4YR cycle of the first 20 year segment of a 40YR
> cycle.
> Even if this proves to be a normal 40YR cycle (no right translation)
> and the
> trend for the next 20 years is down (no support from advancing longer
> term
> cycles), the first leg of the new 4YR cycle 'will' be UP.
>
> ------Unless, of cource, "things are different this time."
>
> If you check out the 80 years of DJIA history posted, the 20 year
> advance
> from '80 - '00 is steeper than the advance from '20 - '40. This may
> represent an acceleration of much longer term trends, OR the '00 top
> may
> represent the terminal parabolic spike reversal of the great 20th
> century
> bull market.
>
> Pick your poison.
>
> --Stan
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: <kjonec@xxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Tuesday, January 28, 2003 12:34 AM
> Subject: Re: [RT] DJIA - the next 4 years
>
>
> > Wouldn't it be more appropriate to compare the Naz 00 top to the
> DJIA top
> of
> > 29 as at that time the DJIA was predominately compiled of new
> economy type
> > stocks of the era?
> >
> > The Naz has seen the excessive blow off which is typical of a bubble
> > formation parabolic rise etc.
> > >>>
>
>
>
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