[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: [RT] NDX_60m



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links




Here is another shot of the same ratio using end of 
day data.  Note that Monday was just the first thrust at the 0.3 
level.  Previous bottoms make several option ratio thrusts as price falls 
into the abyss.  Note the other interesting divergences at the 
significant price tops.  The January divergi did not fail to 
please.
 
bobr
<BLOCKQUOTE 
>
  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  >From: 
  BobR 
  
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003 3:17 
  PM
  Subject: Re: [RT] NDX_60m
  
  Dear Victoria,
  I have a secret, just kidding you of 
  course,  this is another bob who is a bob carver fan.  Attached is a 
  chart of his OEX$C/$P ratio that he uses as a contrary indicator for oversold 
  and overbought.  The general story is the ratio needs two days below 0.5 
  to be a bullish setup, doesn't mean the OEX is going to rally tomorrow.  
  Likewise when the ratio is above 2.0 for two days a bearish setup is 
  created.  Looking back over the history of this indicator, a reading of 
  0.5 or less can exist for many consecutive days as the OEX goes into a 
  tailspin.  It is at a "critical juncture" as one prominant analyst 
  flooded the email boxes with last week.  Also attached is one of my 
  charts posted here before that uses the amex, cboe, phlx, pse dollar calls and 
  dollar puts on a realtime basis.  Note that the cboe ratio(yellow line) 
  was hugging the 0.25 level most of the day.  That too is a pretty good 
  setup for a price trend reversal, unless of course a crash mode is ineffect as 
  it could very well be.  Story on the street today is that the huge open 
  interest in puts is for the real purpose of facilitating massive liquidation 
  of stocks without destroying the stock investment due to price erosion.  
  There are a few times a year when massive open interest in puts doesn't 
  disappear until its been fully capitalized on.
   
  love, love this mkt that is,
  bobr
   
  <BLOCKQUOTE dir=ltr 
  >
    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    >From: 
    <A title=thegirlisherenow@xxxxxxxxx 
    href="">victoria keeling 
    To: <A 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    href="">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
    
    Sent: Monday, January 27, 2003 2:53 
    PM
    Subject: [RT] NDX_60m
    
    okay, it's a wrap...will support hold? two guys I respect a lot [larry 
    pesavento and bob carver] are both very bullish as of today...while I am not 
    sold yet, I have to concede that this game is always full of surprises. a 
    final thrust up would likely catch the most traders with their pants 
    down...and that being the biggest joke the mkt likes to play, it could very 
    well happen. but first things first...in spite of all the super-duper 
    techniques we have to forecast direction, price always has the final 
    word...and what it's saying right now is not decisive, either 
    way...teetering on the precipice as it is.
    the attached chart shows my bottom-line litmus test and it is a simple 
    one...a swing low printed on the hourly chart today (actually printed in the 
    first hour and then dropped lower still as the day progressed!) must 
    be confirmed...and it ain't happened yet! I want to see the RSI 
    up--straight as an arrow--to convince me that we really have this swing 
    low in place. it simply does not fail if we're gonna get more that a 25-30 
    pt move.....which is fine, but I'm not daytrading right now so I'm 
    personally looking for a more sustainable move.
    a final note: the mkt has been reacting to war drums for the past 2 
    weeks...even if GW says he's going in personally to off sadam, we could get 
    a small relief rally this week, just because the tension will break...that's 
    all I can forsee in the bullish scenario--the possibility of higher prices 
    from which to go short!
    anyway...blah-blah-blah...here's the chart... 
    V






Yahoo! Groups Sponsor


  ADVERTISEMENT









To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx





Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.



Attachment:
ExchangeCompositeEOD.gif

Attachment: Description: "Description: GIF image"