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Re: [RT] Efficacy/accuracy of Hurst Channel forecasts



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>I have also done the same thing using non-realtime centered
>moving averages and have published at least one of the
>results of having true CMA data to use in a system.  If that
>were possible you would only need to trade about one year
>and you could retire.

Yes, that's why the fixed (non-projected) portions of the Hurst Channel are
so seductive.

Kent


----- Original Message -----
From: "Clyde Lee(SBCY)" <clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, January 01, 2003 5:54 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] Efficacy/accuracy of Hurst Channel forecasts


Kent,

Such a study is not as simple as was the Fib study.

In that study all I had to do was accumulate statistical data
about swings and simply look at how each leg related to
the prior leg.

What I have done (and it is not yet available to the public) is
to develop a trading system based on the "low risk" concepts
of Hurst and applied it to quite a bit of data.

I have also done the same thing using non-realtime centered
moving averages and have published at least one of the
results of having true CMA data to use in a system.  If that
were possible you would only need to trade about one year
and you could retire.

Clyde
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Clyde Lee   Chairman/CEO          (Home of SwingMachine)
SYTECH Corporation          email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
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----- Original Message -----
From: "Kent Rollins" <kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, January 01, 2003 3:18 PM
Subject: [RT] Efficacy/accuracy of Hurst Channel forecasts


> Clyde
>
> You did a great study on the (in)efficacy of Fib retracements.  Have you
or
> would you consider doing a similar study on the predictive capability of
> Hurst Channels?
>
> Kent
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Clyde Lee(SBCY)" <clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, January 01, 2003 3:08 PM
> Subject: Re: [RT] UCLA scientific predictions....... future of USA stock
> market
>
>
> Am just getting some things together to send out to my list.
>
> The attached is one of them.  The rest are a bunch of history
> in which the projection for the Hurst Channel is done for
> about a year ahead.
>
> The current projection is similar to others in which the market
> has continued to fall even though the Fourier predictions were
> flat to up.
>
> Looking at the past and the current situation I would say that
> you do not want to get too "married" to either side of the market.
>
> Clyde
>
>
>
>
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>
>
>
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>
>



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